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AccuWeather's 2019 UK summer forecast

By Jillian MacMath, AccuWeather staff writer
May 28, 2019, 6:21:58 AM EDT

After a particularly hot summer for the United Kingdom in 2018, this season is likely to be a milder one.

However, many locations will receive their fair share of warm and sunny days, forecasters say.

“Temperatures of over 32 degrees Celsius (90 F) can’t be ruled out this summer, but it is very unlikely that we will see prolonged periods of high heat like we did last summer,” AccuWeather Meteorologist Tyler Roys said.

“I can easily see a couple of days in which the temperatures reaches 30-32 C (86-90 F) this summer in the Midlands and southern England,” he said.


Overall, the temperature roller coaster will have more ups than downs - though sun worshippers should be prepared for some brief cool periods at times.

As occasional cold fronts move across the U.K., temperatures will dip from time to time.

But while many will have summer heat on their minds, meteorologists say the more significant aspect of this summer will be its dryness.

This could be the second straight summer with below-normal rainfall in many locations, Roys said. “Last summer, London only saw 40 per cent of its normal rainfall while Manchester received 38 per cent.”

Edinburgh received 67 per cent while Leeds saw just 53 per cent of normal.

This year, however, northern Scotland is likely to be the exception.

“I do think that northern Scotland will be near to slightly above normal for precipitation,” Roys said.

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Northern England into southern Scotland are also forecast to receive near-normal precipitation.

While dryness will dominate the weather pattern elsewhere through August, showery weather and thunderstorms will sweep through on occasion.

“However, there won’t be much prolonged wet weather,” Roys said.

Although good news for holiday makers and beach goers, the dry weather could spell trouble for farmers.

“The dryness may impact the crops that are growing during the summer,” Roys said. “If the farmers can't get water to the crops, the crops are going to suffer.”

This could translate to price increases for consumers by late summer and autumn.

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