Share this article:
AccuWeather.com Chief Long-Range Forecaster Joe Bastardi is calling for the core of winter in Europe this year to target the southern portion of the continent, while areas from the United Kingdom into Scandinavia that were hit hard last year catch a break.
The major player in this winter's forecast is the phenomenon called La Niña, when sea surface temperatures across the equatorial central and eastern Pacific are below normal. Last winter was characterized by an El Niño, which is the opposite of La Niña with warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures.
Bastardi highlights that in past years in which there was a transition from an El Niño to a La Niña, such as this year, there tended to be unusual warmth north of latitude 40° north, which includes most of Europe.
This winter, Bastardi is generally going with this idea, though he is expecting the above-normal warmth to be a bit farther north. On average, above-normal temperatures are forecast for areas from the northern U.K. into Scandinavia. Precipitation is generally expected to be below normal in these areas.
While winter enthusiasts across northern Europe may be disappointed with this forecast, many people will probably welcome a break after last year's harsh winter.
Farther south, Bastardi expects near-normal temperatures from southern England into the northern Europe mainland and colder-than-normal conditions from Italy and the Alps into the Balkans, Ukraine and southern Russia.
It is this zone from Italy and the Alps into southern Russia where the core of the nastiest part of winter will reside. Along with colder-than-normal temperatures, above-normal snowfall is anticipated in this region.
Southern Poland, the Czech Republic, Greece, Turkey, southern Russia, Italy and much of Switzerland are included in this cold, snowy zone.
While not as extreme farther west, people in cities such as Paris, Madrid and Lisbon can expect this winter to be colder than last year's. Slightly below-normal temperatures and near or slightly above-average snowfall are predicted.
Across northern Europe, snowfall and temperatures are expected to average closer to normal in London, while areas toward Glasgow and Dublin experience slightly above-average temperatures and snowfall just a little below normal.
Even warmer and less snowy conditions compared to normal can be expected farther east across northern Europe, including northern Russia, Latvia, Estonia and much of Scandinavia.
Comments that don't add to the conversation may be automatically or manually removed by Facebook or AccuWeather. Profanity, personal attacks, and spam will not be tolerated.
Eastern Spain is facing the highest risk for flooding from a pair of storms bringing unsettled weather to the Iberian Peninsula and neighboring Africa.
A renewed wave of cold air, locally damaging winds and rain and snow showers will sweep through the midwestern and northeastern United States this weekend.
While stress can become a problem for any healthy adult, medical experts say stress is particularly dangerous for people who suffer from heart disease.
Much cooler and less humid air is forecast to make its way into the Deep South, including Michael-slammed areas of Florida and Georgia this weekend, before the potential for heavy rain later next week.
Despite Tropical Rainstorm Tara weakening, Mexico remains on high alert as a new tropical threat is expected to develop in the next 24 to 48 hours.
Peak oyster season is right around the corner, starting in November, however the recent destruction of Hurricane Michael is impacting aquaculture farms in Florida.
Cloud-free conditions will allow much of the United States to see this weekend’s Orionid meteor shower, the first major shower of the fall.
The upcoming winter across Europe will feature damaging windstorms, flooding rainfall and unseasonable warmth.