While we are in a quiet time I wanted to follow up on the lack of tornadoes. On the graph below, you can see that over the weekend we dipped below the minimum number of tornadoes for the date in regards to the percentile rankings. This has really been a quiet year for tornadoes despite the fact that May was a deadly month with five killer tornadoes and 41 deaths. One would think that during a year with such low numbers the number of deaths will be low as well, but we continue to have the age old problem with warnings, communications and people reacting to warnings. Plus, the shear size of the tornadoes this year have also caused issues, especially the one in Oklahoma.
It does not appear the second severe weather season will be all that active as well.
While things are quiet the tropics, the GFS suggests that the tropics will get active next week with several storms in the Atlantic.
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Storm is coming up the coast but will only skirt New England. Heat follows into the East.
Florida gets drenched and the same storm skirts New England
While a system may develop, welcome rains will hit Florida this weekend.
System may develop in the Gulf of Mexico as the hurricane season starts today.