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A Bermuda High has set up over the eastern part of the country and that means hot and humid weather with thunderstorms developing here and there. The map below shows the most concentrated area of thunderstorms today in the Midwest. Storms in any area can produce locally heavy rains and gusty winds, especially in the Midwest.
The GFS has been indicating the chance of a tropical system in the Gulf. I think it's a long shot that it will happen. Most likely, we will go into a quiet period of tropical activity until August when all heck will break out and we are off to the races with storm after storm through September.
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Storm is coming up the coast but will only skirt New England. Heat follows into the East.
Florida gets drenched and the same storm skirts New England
While a system may develop, welcome rains will hit Florida this weekend.
System may develop in the Gulf of Mexico as the hurricane season starts today.