Comment on the Tropics
The pattern that I see developing after mid-month is one that may produce tropical threats for the East Coast. The danger in a pattern like this is widespread flooding coming on the heals of a wet summer across the East. If a storm were to move into the Appalachians where the rains have been the heaviest, the result could be devastating. It's just a concern for now, but one we need to watch over the next two weeks.
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Storm is coming up the coast but will only skirt New England. Heat follows into the East.
Florida gets drenched and the same storm skirts New England
The same storm that produces severe weather will produce a major storm this weekend.
The stormy weather pattern today will turn into a chilly blocking pattern this weekend.