1. The front will sag into the Southeast and produce heavy thunderstorms with the main impacts being wind and hail. I did notice the HRRR model showed storms into the mid-Atlantic as the wave of low pressure moves up the front. That's why I put an area of heavy storms there.
2. A convective cluster of storms may develop ahead of the upper low coming out of the Southwest Thursday into Friday morning. This could be a serious situation in regards to flash flooding for the Hill Country of Texas late Thursday into Friday night. Heavy rain may go all the way to the coast by Friday midday and afternoon.
3. Scattered thunderstorms with gusty winds and hail may develop in the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley today, then into the Northeast Thursday afternoon. The storms will develop under the axis of the trough that will swing through.
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Storm is coming up the coast but will only skirt New England. Heat follows into the East.
Florida gets drenched and the same storm skirts New England
While a system may develop, welcome rains will hit Florida this weekend.
System may develop in the Gulf of Mexico as the hurricane season starts today.