1. The severe weather today and tomorrow will remain in the Midwest and lower Great Lakes. As the trough digs into the Midwest the next 24 hours, storms will develop over the Midwest and some of the clusters of storms will produce damaging winds and flooding rains. That trough will eventually dig into the East Thursday, resulting in big thunderstorms along the I-95 corridor in the afternoon,
2. As the second trough digs into the Mississippi Valley this weekend, a corridor of tropical moisture will set up between the Atlantic Ridge and the trough in the Mississippi Valley. As you know, I remain concerned for flooding along the Delaware River due to the fact that the river is already running high and the models are showing the heaviest rains setting up along the river per the maps below. Now, I am not saying massive flooding is coming, what I am saying is the river is running high and additional heavy rainfall may take the river higher and even over the banks. I think the bigger concern will come later in the summer when, after a wet period from July into August, a tropical storm runs north and brings heavy rains to the Northeast.
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Storm is coming up the coast but will only skirt New England. Heat follows into the East.
Florida gets drenched and the same storm skirts New England
While a system may develop, welcome rains will hit Florida this weekend.
System may develop in the Gulf of Mexico as the hurricane season starts today.