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Notice the NAO is going negative next week; in fact, we have been in a negative NAO most of the summer. Some studies have shown that a negative NAO during the summer means heat in the Northeast, while a negative NAO in the winter means colder, stormy weather. So one can surmise that as the jet starts to migrate south in September that a negative NAO would mean stormy weather for the Northeast which looks to be the case next week.
The system coming out of Texas and the Gulf Coast will bring a lot of rain north late in the weekend and early next week. You can see on the GFS model total rainfall that some areas can pick up 1-3 inches of rain which may cause some minor flooding problems.
Also, the pattern across the Great Lakes and Northeast will feature several pushes of chilly air the next 14 days. I would not be surprise to see snowflakes over the Upper Peninsula of Michigan in the cold pushes.
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Storm is coming up the coast but will only skirt New England. Heat follows into the East.
Florida gets drenched and the same storm skirts New England
While a system may develop, welcome rains will hit Florida this weekend.
System may develop in the Gulf of Mexico as the hurricane season starts today.