1. Not too worried about the tropics right now. Storms that do develop will stay in the Atlantic and not affect the U.S. Perhaps Humberto will become our first hurricane of the season.
2. I am starting to look at the severe weather event for Thursday. The heat in the Plains will head east under the front and many areas will see the last 90-plus degree weather of the season before the front comes through. When the front does come through, we may see a significant outbreak of wind damage and hail reports. What is catching my eye is the negative tilt of the trough, which is notorious for severe weather. What is lacking is a strong low-level jet. So with that said, we'll have to watch the model runs and weather the next couple of days and see how it all unfolds.
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Storm is coming up the coast but will only skirt New England. Heat follows into the East.
Florida gets drenched and the same storm skirts New England
While a system may develop, welcome rains will hit Florida this weekend.
System may develop in the Gulf of Mexico as the hurricane season starts today.