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It's just not the pattern for a big storm along the East coast, but more of a pattern of the clipper parade lasting through the end of the month. I think by Feb. 1, we will see a split flow pattern developing that will lead to a stormy weather pattern for February. I see that the SOI values are very high right now which indicates some warming in the South Pacific. While technically, an El Nino is not going on, that signal may be one that indicates the tropical branch starts to get active. The implications are positive for southern California which needs the rain. It also means the cold weather will be blown out of the eastern half of the country and the extreme cold will relax into February. That does not mean there will not be warm days, just means the extreme cold is done and it's typical cold weather for February. If you like big East coast storms, watch around Feb. 10.
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Storm is coming up the coast but will only skirt New England. Heat follows into the East.
Florida gets drenched and the same storm skirts New England
While a system may develop, welcome rains will hit Florida this weekend.
System may develop in the Gulf of Mexico as the hurricane season starts today.