Heavy rain and thunderstorms brought flooding to the Mumbai area on Wednesday bringing hope that the monsoon was back on track; however, this might only be a blip on the radar.
An upper-level disturbance was passing over the area Wednesday, enhancing rain and thunderstorms and bringing over 6 inches (150 mm) of rain to Mumbai in only 6 hours. As this disturbance moved farther east, the rain diminished around Mumbai and the threat for any further heavy rainfall in the coming days looks much lower.
Even with Wednesday's heavy rainfall, Mumbai remains nearly 13 inches (325 mm) behind normal for precipitation since the beginning of June.
While Mumbai was the big winner for rainfall on Wednesday, farther south along the west coast, rainfall was generally only 0.50-1.50 inches (12-38 mm). Rainfall since the beginning of June is still near or below 50 percent of normal along the west coast.
No big rainfall is expected over the next week that will put further dents in the deficit; however, rainfall does look closer to normal than what was experienced in June for the west coast.
Meanwhile the best moisture remains over northeast India where daily rainfall of 1-2 inches (25-50 mm) is occurring with local amounts of 3-4 inches (75-100 mm).
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