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    Brett Anderson

    Update #2 for Snowstorm Forecast Map and Long Range

    2/04/2014, 10:54:55 AM

    Be sure to follow me for updates on the storm via my twitter @BrettAWX

    You can also ask me questions on my twitter or through myemail.

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    We have updated the snowfall forecast map. Latest trends support a slight shift north with the track, which brings the northern edge of the heavier snow into extreme SW Ontario and up into the Niagara region. Updated map as of 12:00 p.m. EST to account for increase in snow over Nova Scotia....

    590x393_02041659_mala


    This will be an all-snow event for all areas affected in eastern and Atlantic Canada.

    Snow will spread into Windsor area around 7 p.m. or so with the heaviest snow coming between 1 a.m. and 5 a.m. Wednesday.

    Light snow will begin in the GTA around 11 p.m. tonight. The heaviest snow from Toronto to Kitchener to the Niagara region will likely come Wednesday morning, so allow plenty of extra time for your commute into work.

    Light snow will begin in the Montreal area around 5 a.m. Wednesday. The steadiest snow will occur late morning to mid-afternoon in Montreal.

    Snow will begin in the Halifax, NS, area around noon Wednesday. Heaviest snowfall in Nova Scotia will come Wednesday afternoon and evening from southwest to northeast.

    Snow will begin in the Avalon Peninsula, including St. John's, NL, just after midnight Wednesday night and continue into Thursday morning. Expect a general 10-15 cm for this storm.

    --------- Long-range model interpretation


    590x458_02041427_feb3a

    590x458_02041427_feb3b

    590x458_02041428_feb3c


    The week of Feb. 10-16 is looking good for snow in the BC mountains.

    The cold will ease across southern Canada around the middle of the month, but there are signs via the stratosphere and model that the cold could come back south at the end of the month and into early March.

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    Computer models have backed off a bit on the idea of a major coastal storm in the East Sunday/Monday. However, looking at the ensembles there is still a lot of spread (meaning different solutions among members) which tells me the models are still having a difficult time trying to figure out how the pattern will evolve later in the weekend. I would expect much better consensus by Thursday and a trend back toward a significant coastal storm.

    The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of AccuWeather, Inc. or AccuWeather.com

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