New Hampshire primary 2016: Snow to cause minor issues as voters head to polls on Tuesday
By By Michael Kuhne, AccuWeather.com Staff Writer
February 10, 2016, 12:28:56 AM EST
Cold air and flurries are in store for the New Hampshire primary on Tuesday but should not significantly impact voter turnout.
Cold, snow and blizzard conditions struck the central United States amid the Iowa caucuses, but determined voters from Iowa's 99 counties still ventured out into the elements in order to select the state representative for the Republican and Democratic national conventions.
While wintry weather may have hampered a few voters at last week's Iowa caucuses, the first nomination step in the 2016 Presidential Election season, it is unlikely to deter more than a few New Hampshire voters during the first primary election set for Tuesday, Feb. 9.
In a recent AccuWeather poll, 70 percent of people who weighed in said that inclement weather would not deter them from voting.
"New Hampshire will be in between two winter storms on Tuesday with scattered flurries instead," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Kristina Pydynowski said.
Voters heading out in the morning may encounter slippery conditions from the recent storm that hit the state on Monday.
According to AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski, "There will be some cleanup to do late Monday night into Tuesday morning in the wake of the snow from the storm from Monday and Monday evening."
Road conditions should improve during the midday and afternoon hours.
AccuWeather RealFeel® Temperatures will be mostly in the 20s F. A brisk wind will hold those values to the teens along the coast.
"In terms of actual temperatures, readings will start the day in the upper teens and lower 20s and will recover to the upper 20s to lower 30s during the afternoon," Sosnowski said. "Temperatures at this level are only slightly below average for Feb. 9."
While the snow may have some impact on voter turnout in election years, it is usually the air temperature that affects people the most when making the decision to head to the polls, according to Rosemary Radich, AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions business intelligence manager.
"We probably won't see a big suppression," Radich said, adding that temperatures in the low 20s Fahrenheit, and only the threat of snow is unlikely to make any significant impact on Tuesday's New Hampshire primary.
According to Radich, women are more likely to be influenced by low temperatures than men.
"It really seems to be how cold it is," she said.
Low temperatures, especially those below zero, have a major impact on voter turnout for both women, and younger voters aging from 18-34, according to research conducted by AccuWeather Business Intelligence Manager and Meteorologist Tim Loftus.
"The younger group is definitely more susceptible [to inclement weather]," Loftus said.
Loftus utilized L2 as a resource when conducting his research, which included analyzing weather trends and voter data to election seasons dating as far back as 1996.
However, voter turnout really depends on a variety of other factors, including what the enthusiasm is for the candidates, how close the race is and the candidates' campaign, Radich added, stating that severe or unpleasant weather is just an additional factor that mostly deters swing voters.
"It really impacts those who already are on the fence," she added.
Following Tuesday's primary, Feb. 20 will kick off the caucuses in Nevada, with the Democratic caucus held Saturday and the Republican caucus set for Tuesday, Feb. 23.
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