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Watching the Western Gulf for New Flooding Threat
11/4/2009 9:59 AM
AccuWeather.com Meteorologists remain concerned about the threat of more flooding rain next week in hard hit areas of the lower Mississippi Valley.

By Alex Sosnowski
AccuWeather.com

AccuWeather.com meteorologists remain concerned about the threat of more flooding rain next week in hard-hit areas of the lower Mississippi Valley.

Sunshine will prevail most days through Saturday over the troubled areas, and in much of the Southeast states for that matter.

There are continuing signs that a tropical low pressure area will further develop in the western Gulf of Mexico late in the week. From there, steering winds could bring that system and its drenching rainfall northward into Louisiana Sunday.

That rainfall would then continue to spread across the lower Mississippi Valley early next week.

Rainfall on the saturated ground would almost immediately cause small streams to rise and low-lying areas to flood. How much rain falls would determine the magnitude of new rises in water levels on the major rivers.

The system in the western Gulf should not be confused with Hurricane Ida in the western Caribbean. That separate feature could bring flooding rain to parts of Central America over the next several days.

Even after numerous days of dry weather, several rivers from eastern Texas and Louisiana to Illinois are expected to remain above flood stage by the time the tropical rain arrives.

The flooding that continues early this November follows an extremely wet October across the Mississippi Valley. Many places received more than three times their typical October rainfall.

Monroe, La., was inundated by 20.54 inches of rain this past October. That was over five times the 3.91 inches that typically falls.

Memphis, Tenn., received 10.56 inches of rain in October and was more than three times their average rainfall of 3.31 inches.

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