Meteorological Madness
Henry Margusity [Bio] [Email Me]
Sunday, November 22, 2009 9:57 AM
Models All Onboard for Snow This Week

STORM DEVELOPS ALONG THE COAST THIS WEEK. MANY AREAS WILL SEE SNOW THIS WEEK TOO.

I was glad to see this morning that most of the models have gone with the coastal storm theory as I have been talking about since last week. The NAO is predicted to tank through early December which means to me we need to watch for cold and storms in the eastern part of the country. The long range GFS looks like my kind of weather pattern with a parade of storms across the country and plenty of cold air for snow. We could end up with quite a snow cover by mid-December. In the meantime, snow will develop across the Great Lakes and Midwest this week as the first comes down. The secondary will develop along the coast and snow may fall into the I-95 corridor from Baltimore to Boston by Friday. I do think someone across eastern PA into New England may end up with a 3-6 inch snowfall Thursday night into Friday. I also think that many areas of the Great Lakes, north of I-80, will see 1-3 inches of snow this week.

Snow maps will be issued Monday...



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Friday, November 20, 2009 3:39 PM
It's the Little Things That Computer Models Bring Me

Check out the JMA model for next week. A big storm along the coast with heavy precipitation in the cold air... Wow, if only that could happen. Understand, the Hype-Meister is on the Snow Train for Next week.




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Friday, November 20, 2009 12:21 PM
GFS Still Has the Snowstorm

You can see on the GFS image below that it continues to show the coastal storm development. As I said before, it's what I am thinking could happen given the NAO going negative and the trough coming into the East...





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Friday, November 20, 2009 9:47 AM
NAO Tanks So Watch the East Coast for a Storm

CONCERNED FOR STORM ALONG THE EAST COAST THAT COULD PRODUCE SNOW NEXT THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.


With the NAO going negative and the SOI values going negative, I remain concerned that a storm is going to show up along the East coast late next week. Cold air will be coming in, so my concern is for snow anywhere from northern Virginia and Maryland north to Maine. The GFS shows snow from near Dullas, Va., up to Allentown into the lower Hudson Valley Thursday night into Friday next week. Not sure if that is totally correct, but it's what I am expecting to see happen given the NAO and SOI values.

Also, I do think that after the 1st of December, winter kicks into the East and we are off to the races in regards to snow. Parts of the Great Lakes will see snow next week in the form of snow flurries and squalls as the cold air blasts back in Tuesday.

I am curious to see the 12z run of the GFS to see if it keeps the coastal storm on the maps. I will let you know..

To talk about the storm, please go to our forums.....


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Thursday, November 19, 2009 10:46 AM
Thursday A.M. Video - Updated Video


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