The WeatherMatrix Blog
Jesse Ferrell [Bio] [Email Me]
Monday, September 15, 2008 12:31 PM
Hurricane Ike Caused 7.5 Million Power Outages

UPDATE: The Texas DPS says in a PDF that only 2.87 million customers were without power at the peak of the outage (thanks blog reader Phillip from Entergy). This brings into question the WikiPedia number of 4.5 million. That number was from this Bloomerg article, and quoted "cutting power to at least 4.5 million people in the Houston area." How they got this number is a mystery, and they could have been using an equation to calculate the number of people per "customer." The U.S. Department of Energy also put the estimates for Isabel outages [PDF] at only 5,000,000. The DOE also says that the maximum number of people without power at any one time was 3.8 million [PDF] but their numbers don't say how many lost power altogether. If you look at their reports, this is what you come up with for "max # of customers out per state":

TX: 2,878,000
OH: 1,084,000
KY: 472,000
LA: 219,000
AR: 154,000
IN: 111,000
PA: 60,000
IL: 0
NY: 0

Obviously Illinois and New York are missing, which is a problem, and PA is too low considering that I saw 65,000+ on Alleghany Power's website myself. The DOE disclaimer says "due to a large number of service providers, including investor owned utilities and cooperatives, the number of customer outages reported may not be comprehensive." But, for the record, the DOE total is 4,978,000, which is close to, but less than, their Isabel estimate.

During my power outage last night, I asked myself the question: How many people did Hurricane Ike rob electricity from, all totaled in his trek from Louisiana and Texas through Pennsylvania and New York (when, technically he was no longer a Hurricane but just a low pressure with high winds, still causing power outages)? I did some research, then some editing over at the WikiPedia entry, (and also confirmed their numbers). If my math is correct, the number is over 7.5 million (7,550,000 to be specific).


A car is stranded underneath of a fallen light pole and a tree Monday, Sept. 15, 2008 in Worthington, Ohio, after Hurricane-like winds on Sunday afternoon left about 1 million households and businesses without electricity Monday as schools closed and rush-hour commuters faced obstacle courses of fallen trees and intersections without working traffic signals. Sunday's wind storm caused by remnants of Hurricane Ike killed at least four people who were hit by toppled trees or branches, authorities said. It could take a week for power to be restored in some areas. (AP Photo/Kiichiro Sato)

Given that power is reported by separate power companies, which only cover small areas, this number if probably underestimated (for example, the only number we have for Kentucky is the Louisville area, the number is probably closer to 8 million. Here's the breakdown, where I have also noted historical subtext (all references are in the WikiPedia entry):

Texas: 4,500,000
Ohio: 1,591,000*
Indiana: 350,000
Kentucky: 300,000
(Louisville) - Unprecedented
Louisiana: 200,000
Arkansas: 200,000
- Worst Since 2000
New York: 100,000
Pennsylvania: 180,000
(Western)
Missouri: 85,000
Illinois: 49,000

According to WikiPedia's list of major power outages (which I just added Ike to, take THAT, WikiPedia editors!), this ranks as largest outage since the Northeast Blackout of 2003. It also was the largest Hurricane-related outage, though their list was clearly incomplete. They also didn't list Isabel, which knocked out 6 million, or the Blizzard of 1993 / Storm of the Century, which caused over 10 million to lose power. I think it's possible this is the largest weather-related power outage since then.

If you remember any power outages on this scale, especially ones that WikiPedia is not already listing, leave me a Comment below.

photo
Tree on power lines South Main Street, Butler, PA (AccuWeather.com Photo Gallery User jrluppe)

*Ohio: 354,000 (Central), 310,000 (Northeast) 927,000 (Cincinnati) - Unprecedented


Categories: Hurricanes
Posted by Jesse Ferrell on Monday, September 15, 2008 12:31 PM
| Comments (7) | Post A Comment
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Comments (7):
AB:

I live in Louisville, and although the figures here say 300,000, our local utilities company released a statement on Tuesday saying that the figure was wrong, it was over 400,000.
So you can add another 100k at least.

Posted by AB | September 20, 2008 1:25 AM

Paul:

In order to get the full scope of power outage due to Ike you'll need to include the rural utilities too. Mine alone had 12k out of 22k, neighboring utilities had even higher numbers not included in the Indiana number. Statewide REC's and the NRECA will likely in the future post power losses in total due to the event.

Posted by Paul | September 18, 2008 10:23 AM

Bill Stuart:

Thanks for covering this story, hasn't made much national news. Here in Cincinnati there are still over 500,000 "customers" without power. Duke energy is recalling workers from Texas and bringing some from North and South Carolina. I didn't see any predictions of high winds until Sunday morning. We didn't get any of the rain or thunderstorms that were predicted, in fact, it was sunny and hot during much of the wind storm. I've lived here most of my 51 years and never seen wind like that. The NOAA site has the gusts listed at 74 mph at one point. It would be nice to see a weather map of what exactly happened.
PS: Univ. of Cinti has power, that's where I'm writing from.

Posted by Bill Stuart | September 16, 2008 11:37 AM

Joe Alexander:

Jesse,

The 9:15 radar has weird blobs all over the southeast - is it birds again?

Joe A.

FROM JESSE: Probably Anomalous Propagation. I wrote a blog entry about that topic last year.

Posted by Joe Alexander | September 15, 2008 9:19 PM

Scott:

I read the wikipedia entry that was posted for Hurricane Ike and something very shocking stood out to me. I was reading the portion about the fatalities caused by the storm, I'm not sure if these were the complete statistics but it mentioned of 35 fatalities in the US and 7 in Cuba. What gets me is how can a country such as the U.S. have 5 times as many fatalities as Cuba? The U.S. is far more technically advanced and capable of getting out of harms way in plenty of time, Cubans not so much. While Ike covered a long track across the U.S. it did so as well across the whole island of Cuba and initially it was much more powerful when hitting Cuba. Are Americans still so ignorant to the fact that these storms are dangerous and need to be taken seriously? Are we trying to prove our toughness and bravery by staying in harms way? If any of those people that stayed thought that, then all they proved was that they were idiots. You hear their excuses on the news, I don't have the money, or transportaion, or I don't want to leave my house or pets. Point is people had days to prepare and make some sort of arragement with family to get out and they didn't. Unfortunately it cost some of them their lives. When will we ever learn???

FROM JESSE: To be fair, Ike affected a much larger area than Cuba, but your point is well taken. We are pretty ignorant - the fact that 10-20,000 stayed on Galveston Island proves that - but I'm not 100% sure we can trust the stats from Cuba either.

Posted by Scott | September 15, 2008 5:27 PM

Jim Redekop:

You may want to look at the Canadian numbers as well, I know that there were power outages in South Western Ontario as well, though numbers are low. ca.yahoo posted a story reporting 25,000 losing power. Here is their link. http://ca.news.yahoo.com/s/capress/080915/national/wea_ike_ontario

Jim

Posted by Jim Redekop | September 15, 2008 3:14 PM

Corey:

at least 25,000 in Ontario as well

Posted by Corey | September 15, 2008 1:51 PM

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