from a big daddy to maybe 2-4 should of known to watch the weather channel instead

In the last 3 years I think Henry has been right on 1 or 2 storms at this range. I see no reasoning in this article like most of his other articles. A volcanoe? Seriously? Good news everybody. If you have to choose Henry's word and the 18z Nam today over the 0z Euro and 12z GFS(which I think is a bit too east) go with the latter every single time. Everyone on the East Coast your going to get slammed.

Henry, all winter long, there has been a thumbprint of warm air consistently tagging along with every winter storm that has struck SW PA causing snow totals to be quite disappointing....Do you see this pattern continuing or do you see this as a total snow event with no mix at all in SW PA?

Which track would be worse for SW PA? East of the Apps, along the Apps, or west of the Apps?

Thanks!

WHAT A WEEKEND! THE SUPER BOWL AND A BIG DADDY!

Hi,
Just wondering can Allentown area (PA) get this storm to since the big cities like Philly are getting rain as of now.
Thanks

You guys in the I95 corridor are missing the point. You WANT Henry to forecast rain for our area. This will almost guarantee that we see a sizable snowstorm. Trust me the LAST thing you want from over 12 hours out is for this guy or his site, take your pick, to predict snow for you. It is THE kiss of death for you snow lovers!

I have to concur with several posters that a Big Daddy storm to me (and my understanding from your previous posts Henry) would include several inches of snow in the I-95 corridor?! Since this storm looks typical of this winters path - west of the APPS into the Ohio Valley - or maybe hugging the APPS striaght up though NY state, it would be a BIG Rain event - maybe a Big Uncle?!? But I don't think this is the Big Daddy - we still have 2 months of winter for that to come...

Don't get me wrong - I am glad it wont be a Big Daddy.

As far as I am concerned - bring on the Warm Rain in Boston - so we can get rid of some of the 30 inches in my backyard! We couldn't handle a Big Daddy next week.

I live in sw ncin the mountains about 2500 feet. We were nailed by the 93 storm almost 3 feet!it was great what are the chances of us seeing at least a foot of snow out of this one?Its been a few years since we had a foot of snow here.Thanks for the great updates.

The track will not be known until 48 hrs ahead. 4 days to 3 days out the GFS jumps hundreds of miles sometimes. That being said the biggest single thing I95 needs is the classic blocking. If not then not enough cold and a probable near to the coast track. I can't believe that this could even possibly end up a cutter coming from the gulf in a classic up the coast scenario. If that happens I fear our winters have been ruined by climate change. What I think is happening is that the models always start too far east because they're not caught up to the current "curve" of anamolous ridges until the near term or something similar. On your video please address the blocking issue with this!

Don't get excited! This weather guys hype these types of storms all of the time for ratings!! Wait until after the Pittsburgh Steelers win the Super Bowl before you even look at this "mini mama" of a storm! Bob

Pay attention, people. It doesn't need to snow in the big cities for it to be a big daddy. Get over it.

Roanoke is going to get slammed and it's about time.

The signs are all there now, its coming.....something big...something white....something cold...i can feel it in my bones.
after all the woolly worms this year are never wrong. pittsburgh.

This won't be a snow storm for the big cities but it may change the pattern so that in a week or two we may get a real Nor'easter. This is the first chance at a Nor'easter, the odds that after all the clippers we received and cold Canadian highs that this first Gulf low will be our big storm are low. Most of our big snows come in between warm spells. Late Feb. or early March will be our chance for a Hatteras Howler.

Hope it's just like the storm back in january 26 1978 the great midwest superbomb.. please hit ohio. Keep up the good work henry

Please go over the criteria for Big Daddy again. So many viewers are scrathing their heads right now. 30 million of us are getting rain and a puff of wind. I never blame you for the weather but calling a rain storm a big daddy goes against what I thought a big daddy was supposed to be. This is NOT a Big Daddy for 90% of your listening loyal supporters. Please rethink your phrase and definition. Thanks.

Henry...I thought your TRUE BIG DADDY was when we all I-95 included got in on the action. nws has been calling for rain up the coast next week,especially in wash. dc etc.

ok ok .....must stay calm ..must stay calm.........YESSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS WELCOME HOME BIG DADDY!!!!!!!!!PITTSBURGH...WOW
A SUPER BOWL AND A SUPER STORM !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I live north and west of Phillie.. in Reading. hope we have chances of some snow this time.. or will it be just ice and rain again.. disappointed...

WOOOOOOOHOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! We are really wanting to build that SNOWman here, not POWDERman or ICEman. Let's build BLIZZARDboy!!!! Man, I hope so. Bring on the cold air so it's not rain!!

Great, a big daddy. Too bad it misses I-95 once again.

How about middle tennessee? We haven't seen a good snow beyond memory... Which track spells more of the white stuff for us?

Well, Ohio Valley, get ready for that blizzard. People of the western flank of the Appalachians eastward, get ready for another slop to rain event. These cold fronts this year are just too slow to go east to produce snow all the way to the big cities. Heck, it may even stall right on top of the mountains.

Don't get me wrong. This could be a very strong storm that will impact alot of people. But, here's my prediction. By tomorrow or Saturday, all the models will be showing a major snow storm all the way over to the big I-95 cities. Snow maps will be generated and everyone will be excited but fooled yet again. Even the ultra-conservative NWS will issue some type of snow statement for the I-95 corridor. But by Monday evening, that storm is going to take a western App. path. You all watch.

Henry, I am glad to see you so excited. I have been burned too many times over the last 10 years here in West Virginia to get real excited. I hope and pray this storm goes up east of the Appy Mountains. But I am not going to hold my breath. It seems like we have a permanent climate change in this area, that all the major storms head into the Great Lakes. Time will time tell but I'll believe it when I see it here. And even then I won't totally believe it, cause even then rain may still get in here.

So Phila, Baltimore, and DC miss the snow again.

Henry-I live in Northern Virginia, All the storms that come from the Gulf seem to bring too much warm air with it which gives us the rain and ice...What are the chances of the Loudoun County, Dulles area getting hit by SNOW and not Rain?

ok ok .....must stay calm ..must stay calm.........YESSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS WELCOME HOME BIG DADDY!!!!!!!!!PITTSBURGH...WOW
A SUPER BOWL AND A SUPER STORM !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

hey henry, david murphy from action news just said storm on tuesday and wedsday will be mostley rain and no big deal. thats his words. wow , does he know something you guys dont. i live north of philly. i know it depends on the track of the storm, but he seemed pretty confident.i read your blog every day. i hope he is wrong. take care and keep up the good work bob

Henry,
The sun is setting tonight and rising tommorrow,cut the hype

Henry: As Wes just said in his reply and I said earlier it is not a ture Big Daddy unless it snows from DC, to Philly, to NY to Boston.Correct me if i am wrong but this was you you stated on your blog from last year.

Henry,

What happened to the office consensus from yesterday:

"The consensus in the office today is the storm will be a little weaker and to the east of the the position shown."

What happened to the third storm track possibility that Accuweather maps show??

Bruce
Fairfax, VA

BIG DADDY????
Its a BIG rain storm, how can you hype these storms out 5 days away, then back pedal, unreal

Henry,

Make it happen.. When will you have snowfall amount predictions? Will this be measured in feet or inches? Timing.. we need timing...

Regards,
Mike
Monmouth, NJ

OH, please let it be a big daddy for Richboro, PA!!!!!

soo I meant to say that you guys are saying, there are 2 tracks now, and they are both going to give the I 95 corridor RAIN?? what about that track from yesterday where we get snow, That east track isnt lookin likely ANYMORE?

Henry

Please don't hype the "Big Daddy" until you are really sure about the track. Keep your powder dry and don't get people all worked up, until you are ready to bet the farm on the storm track. I for one am ready for a real blizzard in the Dulles Airport area.

Lance

Henry, though the NAO is tanking next week, I don't see a surface High setting up over New England. Without that classic feature funnelling cold NE winds into the Mid-Atlantic, this looks like a rain storm for Washington DC.

Henry, could you make a map about who will get snow and mix for both of the scenarios?
Thanks
Brad
Pittsburgh, PA
Go Steelers!

i'm beginning to think that the folks east of I-95 are the meanest bunch of people alive! there is no reason for you guys to get so nasty with these guys about the pattern this winter. it's almost as if you are holding henry and accuweather completely responsible!

and remember, there ARE other people besides you guys who ARE enjoying this winter. here in Erie, PA we are at 122.6" for the season, which is our 6th snowiest winter in history. and we still have feb and mar to go!

lay off the nasty comments, I-95'ers....it gets old!

I'm in northern NJ and it looks like our temps will be in the mid-40s. What a bummer. No snow at all.

I hope you folks along I95 get your wish and get the big snow,hope it stays east of the mountains because we dont need anymore bad weather in sw Ohio

BIG DADDY my foot! I've got one word for this forecast and it is BORING! How can this be a Big Daddy if the major cities get rain? Who cares if it snows in Upstate New York? They get snow all the time. When JFK and LaGuardia are closed because of the snow give me a holler. Still, thanks for your enthusiasm, one snow lover to another.

It aint offical 'til I see the BIG DADDY hat :)

Oh Henry! We folks in Winston-Salem NC are stoked for snow! We've seen a few (too few) flakes so far. I'm SO hoping for the Big Daddy- I'm buying my milk and bread tomorrow just in case!

I want to know about Richmond, VA. I want snow and we need snow. What will we see hear in Richmond, VA?

I KNEW IT BIG STORM LOTS OF RAIN FOR US 95ERS

Henry, can you explain why you are ruling out an off the coast track. I know it's hard to expect that when all the pattern this winter has been up the mountains, but you gave 2 options while the Accuweather graphics show 3.

Henry...

So when you explained in your post above about the 2 potential tracks... Does this mean you dont see the storm going off the coast and that I-95 shouldnt even hope for snow???

Kevyn

Don't count your Big Daddy's before they hatch.

Michigan here...all you I-95'ers can have our snow...we are sick of it. Its so bad they aren't plowing the streets or salting the roads anymore because they are out of $$$$.

Henry, I see that the NAO is tanking but I have yet to see a surface High over New England. Without that classic feature funnelling in cold NE winds, I'm afraid that Washington DC misses out on this upcoming snow event. Rain for us.

Henry, how can this be a big daddy, i dont get it, the whole eastern seaboard is rain, i dont see 1 flake for any big city from Boston to DC, wheres the big daddy, we wont remember this and tell our kids, i remember when we got 3 inches of rain and winds to 35mph

Please address Raleigh, NC... thank you!

Henry, I see that the NAO is tanking but I have yet to see a surface High over New England. Without that classic feature funnelling in cold NE winds, I'm afraid that Washington DC misses out on this upcoming snow event. Rain for us.

Henry,
I am correct in my assumption that it is all about how far east that the cold front pushes on Monday and the storm rides up along the front on Tuesday? Snow is starting to really pile up here in southern VT, would be sad to see a lot of it disappear due to another storm that cuts up west of the appalachians...not to mention the potential flooding issues. Thanks

Not to happy with either track. I live east of the I-95 corridor in Phila PA. (I-95)is only 5 miles away)
We have had rain with every storm. Still hoping this storm pushes eastward. Hoping is all we snow lovers in the east have left to do.
the only good thing about this storm is seeing you so happy wearing your BIG DADDY HAT...

henry this may be a big storm yes
but not your big daddy you said your big daddy is all snow and this looks like all rain for mid Atlantic up too new england including new york, pen newjersy temps warm mid 40's get over it

Henry, it mabey a big daddy storm inland but the coast will see rain again(what else is new) I know were not sure of the track yet, but with the pattern this year all the storms have been going inland. I dont see anything thats going to change that. Mabey im wrong this time, but I doubt it...

Hey Henry!

Do you think us southern bells in Raleigh NC will see snow or ice from this next storm? I sure am getting excited! We haven't had snow patterns like this in a long while.

Thanks
MB Ekland
Raleigh, NC