Tuesday 10:10 A.M.
We start with a very large high pressure area over New England. Even without a low pressure area of consequence to the south, the pressure gradient (difference in pressure from one place to another) is strong enough to cause 15- to 30-mile per hour winds in eastern Virginia and eastern North Carolina. But next, as the high holds its ground, the pressures will fall over and east of the Carolinas ... and gale-driven rain can be hitting the coastal areas as early as tomorrow. There is still uncertainty about how strong the low pressure area will become and on what its exact track will be. However, we think rain and increasing winds will spread to Pennsylvania and New Jersey Thursday or Thursday night, then farther north Thursday night and Friday. The storm should not bring rain to the areas in the central and western Great Lakes that were soaked by Gustav amd then hit even harder by Ike.
Meanwhile, a tropical system near the Dominican Republic should be moving northward or northwestward and strengthening. If this happens, we would have Kyle, and Kyle could grow to hurricane strength as it heads toward the Middle or north Atlantic coast. You can check out the multitude of computer track projections for this storm. Each individual track would produce different storm-related details for the affected area. Now would be a good time for people in the coastal areas from Maryland to Maine to make sure that emergency kits are up to date. I want to stress that this does not mean I am predicting an emergency for your location. However, since the storm is likely to pick up speed as it moves north or northwest, you won't be the only one clamoring for supplies if the storm does wind up heading in your direction.
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Hi
Mr. Abrams
I have the book collection called " Early American Winters, Volumes 1
Posted by John Germanicus T | September 23, 2008 1:57 PM
A familiar quip is that economists and weathermen are equally unreliable in the prediction of future events. Not true! After listening to Mr. Paulson, I don't have a clue about what to do with my 401K. Listening to Elliot Abrams I know for damned sure to cancel my New Jersey fishing trip for Thursday! This could be an exciting week for finances---and weather!
Jim from Jersey
Hopefully, we won't have to bail out basements. And even though I am not an investment advisor, some folks are putting what they can in insured 3-6 month CDs to see how things get sorted out. But I'll get back to my weather map.
Elliot
Posted by jim frazee | September 23, 2008 11:06 AM