UPDATE 12 PM: With the late morning update, the AccuWeather.com has shifted further westward towards the NHC. I will not be updating this blog again until Monday morning but you can watch the tracks with the links below.
There have been some important changes in the tracks of Hurricane Ida overnight. First, while all the long-range models (live link) are still somewhat in disagreement, with many suggesting she could change direction and go back out in the Gulf, the official tracks from the U.S. Government's NHC and AccuWeather.com (live) are predicting landfall on either side of the Alabama coastline and when she makes the turn is absolutely crucial; we may not know until the last minute what's going to happen. The government has already started issuing Hurricane Watches for the U.S. coastline, however.
Sunday Morning AccuWeather.com (A) and NHC (F) Tracks For Ida From The Google Interactive Hurricane Tracker
And while yesterday morning only 2-3 strength models (live link) were predicting Ida to remain a Category 1 or 2 hurricane, this morning most of them are in agreement that she will be, even for a short time inland (shown below).
We'll be keeping an eye on her all weekend; check AccuWeather.com for news stories and Hurricane.AccuWeather.com for tracks from us, the government and the computer forecast models.
Looking at the Mexico & Cuba Radar (backup) though, it's clear that her eye is well-formed.
CANCUN RADAR COURTESY SMN (LIVE)
On the satellite (live image below), she is looking pretty consistently healthy at 11 AM, but doesn't have an eye on satellite yet.
LIVE SATELLITE (LINK | ARCHIVED 7 AM)
And if that's not enough, Henry tells a story of the GFS prediction that she will go up the East Coast as a Nor'easter after exiting land.
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Any of that moisture heading into Pa?
FROM JESSE: I don't believe so.
Posted by DavePa | November 8, 2009 3:43 PM