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Jesse Ferrell [Bio] [Email Me]
Sunday, November 22, 2009 9:52 AM
Always Cloudy and Windy in Pennsylvania VS NC?

The AccuCam shows another dreary, cold November day here in State College, Central Pennsylvania, home of AccuWeather HQ [Google Map].


The StarDot NetCam AccuCam

A quick look at the last 3 days of hourly observations from our local airport shows it's been "mostly cloudy" to "overcast" for 93% of the time.

One thing that I noticed when I moved to Central Pennsylvania from eastern North Carolina in 1997 is that it seems to be a lot colder, cloudier and windier up here. Especially this time of year, it's tough to find the will to go outside and get some exercise because it's usually cloudy, cold, AND windy (any of those could be excused individually). It seems like it's "always" windy here, no matter whether it's 100 degrees or 0. This is something that I wasn't used to in North Carolina; it seemed like it was always calm there unless there was a hurricane or a big front coming through in the winter.

But I wanted to quantify that, because people's memories, especially about long-term things like the weather, tend to flounder. Cold is easy; we're at a higher elevation here and much further north. But how can you quantify average wind or cloudiness over time? Enter the NCDC Climate Atlas, which has national maps of average climate data for a 30-year period.

Here's a look at the Annual Sky Cover -- what percentage of the sky is covered with clouds on average, if you add up the hourly observations.

While Raleigh, NC was about 59%, here in State College the clouds cover the sky about 67% of the time, a significant difference. Although much of this generally cloudiness extends up into western New England, it gets worse as you move towards Lake Erie, so much so that Buffalo and Erie are essentially the same as "typically dreary" Seattle! The same goes for "hours of sunshine" (which is slightly different because it doesn't include the overnight hours):

There, Pittsburgh is essentially equivalent to Seattle. It is seasonal, however. I notice more cloudy days here in the Spring, Fall and Winter than Summer. And sure enough, if you take a look at July's Percentage of Sunshine...

...it's not that different between North Carolina and Pennsylvania.

Wind isn't as significant, but it does average higher here than in North Carolina. This really doesn't match my memory though, and I think I may know why. The documentation says that this data is only for 230 stations nationwide (and more of those are disqualified if they have more than a few days of missing data). Here in Pennsylvania, it's probably just Pittsburgh, Harrisburg, and Philadelphia, (maybe Williamsport) -- none of which are near enough to State College to be representative of our wind speeds because of the local effects of the mountains which essentially "start" here and build to our northwest. (Even in this modern era, there are still only two official climate stations east of Pittsburgh - Williamsport and Harrisburg).


RED = OFFICIAL CLIMATE STATIONS IN EASTERN OHIO AND CENTRAL PA (NWS)

But I believe the overall reason for the cloudiness (and perhaps to a lesser extent, the windiness too) on the maps above (precluding the aforementioned local effects) are threefold:


MAP BY FERMI

1. The Appalachian mountains. When air moves from the west up the mountains, clouds form, and they may not disappear until the air descends the eastern slopes (generally east of here). When the wind is from the east instead, they can also block the westward movement or dissipation of clouds.

2. The Great Lakes, which provide amply moisture to form clouds as winds move (generally) southeast across them.

3. The Jet Stream. The jet stream retreats to the Northeast U.S. in the Summer, which means that we're under its influence more on average and we get a greater chance for (windy) low pressure systems to move through with clouds that may interrupt our outside plans.


Posted by Jesse Ferrell on Sunday, November 22, 2009 9:52 AM
| Comments (4) | Post A Comment
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Comments (4):
John:

Hi, thats a good analysis, I just wanted to let you know that the mean sky cover percentage for cloudiness also does not include the overnight hours.

FROM JESSE: OK thanks

Posted by John | November 22, 2009 8:31 PM

The Delmarva Johnster Monster:

I can relate to your experience with the clouds, the cold, and the wind. I spent my first 2 years of college in the northern WV panhandle back in the late 70s. I left never to return.

Posted by The Delmarva Johnster Monster | November 22, 2009 6:33 PM

Tim Serbin:

Hi Jesse, I lived in State College back in the early 1980's and one thing I remember about the winter was that not only was it very cold, but also very windy. Someone told me it was because PSU was in the valley and the winds were forced into the narrowed space between the mountains. I don't know if that is true or not, but that wind chill was incredible.

Posted by Tim Serbin | November 22, 2009 6:11 PM

Robert Fitzgerald:

I concur with your data summary for N.C. I live in Raleigh and follow the weather daily. As a member of the Raleigh Astronomy Club I can tell you this "ain't" the place to enjoy cloudless weather most of the year! We rely on Danko's Clear Sky Clock 36 hour forecast window for astronomical forays to dark sites north of Asheville to extreme eastern NC. We have more recently begun to rely on AccuWeather forecasts and while down in Chiefland, Florida two weeks ago your Ida predictions and cloud cover/wind projections were accurate. Your algorithms seem to more accurately predict the wacky weather we are experiencing these days. Also, your astronomy section is beginning to attract more of our folks globally.

I have utilized the NCDC climate database to study weather patterns from southwest Virginia down to just north of Wilmington, NC searching for good weather pockets. My research has revealed a combination of several factors (wind, cloud cover, seeing, transparency, light pollution graients, etc.) that point to Pettigrew State Park south of Plymouth, NC for late-December to early April and the rest of the year White Mountain up on the NC/VA border are best. Asheville/Brevard/Maggie Valley all stink thanks to off-gassing of the trees in the Great Smoky Mountains April-September. We hate wind for astronomy of course but in the winter it presents additional problems of discomfort, stress and spooky noises/shadows in remote places!! (Hey - it's not just rednecks in the woods that concern me - some animals have really big claws and teeth!)

I'd like to see you run a wind/tranparency profile with the Jet Stream overlay like Skippy Sky. Check out their models for profiling short and long-term wind data!

Clear Skies and No Wind!
Robert Fitzgerald
Raleigh Astronomy Club and AstroNut!

FROM JESSE: Interesting! Yes I have seen the sky clocks before. Have you checked out our Astronomy Site?

Posted by Robert Fitzgerald | November 22, 2009 1:08 PM

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