STORMS MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHEAST WILL PRODUCE WIND DAMAGE WITH GUSTS UP TO 85 MPH. POSSIBLE TORNADO THREAT ACROSS VERMONT AND NEW HAMPSHIRE AND PERHAPS THE UPPER HUDSON VALLEY.

While wind damage will be the main threat this afternoon from eastern Pennsylvania into the Northeast, I am concerned that parts of Upstate New York, Vermont and New Hampshire have a rare outbreak of tornadoes this afternoon and evening. Why, the jet comes over that area, the EHI values are running over 2.5 and the morning soundings/VAD wind profiles are showing good shear. I know that area is very mountainous, but that might not stop any tornadoes from forming given the dynamics moving through that area.

In regard to the wind damage, I do think the storms can produce wind gusts 60-85 mph due to the hot air and strong midlevel winds. The storms should get into the I-95 corridor later tonight and storms could contain strong wind gusts even through the night.

Posted by Henry Margusity on Tuesday, June 10, 2008 9:14 AM
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