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Severe Weather Threat This Week, Cool Down 6-10 Day
May 24, 2012; 9:08 AM ET
Upper Midwest will have severe storms form todaystretching from southern Wisconsin to Missouri. Watch cool down coming to start June from Ohio Valley to the East.
Tropics Watched Closely For Weekend, Cool Push 6-10 Day
May 24, 2012; 8:16 AM ET
Ensembles are trending cooler for the end o fthe month into early June from the Midwest to the Southeast, perhaps a little too cool. The cool down will come in two phases.
Near Normal Hurricane Season Expected Dealing With Numbers
May 23, 2012; 8:41 AM ET
As far as numbers, we are expecting a near normal hurricane season this year: 12 storms, 5 hurricanes and 2 majors.
Heat Holiday Weekend, Cools Off Ohio Valley Next Week
May 23, 2012; 8:04 AM ET
Heat will start in the Plains and spread through the Ohio Valley and into the Northeast by late holiday weekend. Cools off middle of next week, only to warm up again in the 11-15 day.
Very Little Change to Summer Forecast
May 22, 2012; 9:02 AM ET
We are holding on the dry and hot areas and not making any adjustments. There are still some risks which are mentioned in the text.
Joplin Anniversary Today, Severe Weather Plains This Week
May 22, 2012; 8:45 AM ET
An area that has not been hit too much with severe weather this year will be threaten from Wednesday through Friday, the northern Plains and upper Midwest.
Cool Front Dents Heat Wave Lakes Region
May 22, 2012; 7:54 AM ET
Cold front will split heat wave in half across Midwest and Lakes this weekend. Tennessee Valley will not be impacted and will remain hot, once becoming hot.
Four Week Break Down, Center of Heat Changes Mid June
May 21, 2012; 9:12 AM ET
The week to week break down shows a trend in temperatures. Heat centered over the Lakes and Midwest shifts southwest by mid June.
Spoiling the Heat, Tropics Fast Start
May 21, 2012; 8:58 AM ET
Alberto drifting off the Southeast coast will head northeast next few days staying away from land. Watching end of the month for another system in the southern Gulf.
Front Backs in Thru Lakes Holiday Weekend, Interrupts Heat
May 21, 2012; 7:58 AM ET
Our heat wave in the northern Ohio Valley and Lakes may be interrupted this weekend by front backing in from the north. This will stall and areas from the southern Ohio Valley on South remain hot.
Upper Lows Distrupting Flow of Pattern
May 17, 2012; 8:27 AM ET
Upper low development can always throw off long term day to day forecasts. Over the next two weeks, there may be two to deal with in the east that will alter the pattern flow.
Upper Low Impacts Start of Next Week, Will There Be More?
May 17, 2012; 7:57 AM ET
Upper low will impact temperatures from the Southeast up the east coast Sunday into Monday. European tracking a second upper low just before the holiday weekend.
Northern Jet Doing Its Thing Next Week
May 16, 2012; 9:07 AM ET
We have had some severe weather over the past couple of weeks, but widespread,and strong events have been absent. Today's video talks about chance for a big event next week, coastal storm and h
Still A Back and Forth Pattern Through the End of the Month
May 16, 2012; 8:02 AM ET
The Lakes and Ohio Valley on East will still deal with a back and forth pattern through the end of the month. Warm ups and cool downs expected. The Southeast will fair well with some rain.
Tropical Caribbean Heating Up, Warmth Plains/Midwest
May 14, 2012; 9:25 AM ET
Departures will be trougher and tougher to get above normal in the Southeast and South this time of year and beyond without any major ridges. I will explain in video.
2006 Closest Look to Current Pattern
May 14, 2012; 9:00 AM ET
Warm start to May in the lower Ohio Valley and Tennessee Valley, but these areas will back off over the next several days but staying warm farther northwest.
Warmth Going Over Top in the Midwest, More Difficult South
May 14, 2012; 8:39 AM ET
Without a pronounced ridge in the Southeast, moisture around and rising normals, it will be tough to get significant above normal departures for the Southeast
Pattern Not Exciting, But Has Some Perks
May 14, 2012; 8:27 AM ET
Some warmth will head toward the Midwest and Lakes heading later this week and for a period next week. It will be difficult farther south and east to see these kind of departures.
Its About That TIme To Start Looking at Tropics
May 10, 2012; 8:17 AM ET
It is about that time to start looking at the tropics for early home grown systems. Fronts and upper disturbances and look innocent at first, then change.
Texas Rain Will Be Significant This Weekend
May 10, 2012; 8:08 AM ET
Texas rain through Monday wiill be significant. Almost every month this year has been above normal in Dallas. Keeping one eye open on tropics next week.
May Changes and Comparison, 2006 Becoming Popular
May 9, 2012; 9:03 AM ET
Starting to link up with 2006 more and more in my discussions. This analog year is becoming more and more popular and could carry us through the Fall and Winter
May Update Tightens Up Cool and Warm Areas
May 9, 2012; 7:54 AM ET
May update was not completely off track but was necessary to make midweek based on precipitation that is falling and will fall and temperatures through the first 7-days.
Warmth Ohio/Tennessee Valley to Start Fades Mid Month
May 8, 2012; 9:27 AM ET
Departures starting out at plus 10 across the Ohio and Tennessee Valley will slowly lower as a series of troughs moves across this area.
European Seasonal Forecast Showing a Lack of Cool For Summer
May 8, 2012; 8:53 AM ET
Looking at the European update for the summer, there is not alot of cool ion the map. ENSO plume still heading toward weak El Nino by late Summer or Fall.
European Seasonal Forecast Showing a Lack of Cool For Summer
May 8, 2012; 8:51 AM ET
Looking at the European update for the summer, there is not alot of cool ion the map. ENSO plume still heading toward weak El Nino by late Summer or Fall.
Heat Will Still Be Turned On at Night For Some Areas
May 8, 2012; 8:02 AM ET
Heat will continue to be turned up at times in this pattern, especially at night. Later this week, a cool surface for the Northeast can send temps in the 30s at night.
May Forecast Depends On 11-15/16-20 Cool Period
May 7, 2012; 9:03 AM ET
Alot is running on the cool period that will come late 11-15 Day Ohio/Tennessee Valleys and early 16-20 day in the East.
Modeling Disagrees Past Mid Month Cooling
May 7, 2012; 8:46 AM ET
I think there is some concerns arising in the modeling for beyond the 15th. Yesterday's discussion showed the chilly temperatures in Alaska but the question where does this go next few weeks.
Modeling Not Backing Cool Lingering in 11-15 Day
May 7, 2012; 8:35 AM ET
The idea was for the cool to struggle leaving the 11-15 day period and holding into the 16-20. Now there looks like a break on the modeling as the last trough may dive into the West.
NAO and PNA Showing Cool Late Next Week East
May 3, 2012; 8:26 AM ET
The NAO and PNA pattern setting up later next week shows more warmth for the West and cool for the East.. In addition, the southern and northern branch try to link up as well.
Blocking Still Looking Strong Later Next Week, Cools East
May 3, 2012; 8:03 AM ET
New England has dealt with easterly flow holding back temperatures. Appalachians on West has been well above normal. All of the East will cool later next week as blocking strengthens.
Blocking Can Lead to 10 Day Mean Trough East of the Plains
May 2, 2012; 8:46 AM ET
NAO blocking most impressive, if it verifies since last June. The length of time of the mean trough in the East is what impressives me.
Summer Heat Replaced By Cooling Upper Trough Next Week
May 2, 2012; 8:31 AM ET
Big turnaround expected over the next 7 days. But the bigger concern is what the models do in the late 15 day.
Week to Week Turnaround in May
May 1, 2012; 8:33 AM ET
This week quite warm from the Plains to the Lakes. Next week cools in the Lakes and Ohio Valley.
Big Contrast Week One Of May to Week Two
May 1, 2012; 8:08 AM ET
15-20 degree departures above normal will occur for a couple of days in the Lakes region this week. Next week, the same area may find itself several degrees below normal.
More Snow? Hot Plains! More Blocking and When?
Apr 26, 2012; 8:46 AM ET
3 points discussed today with some question marks to figure out.
May Blocking Intensity Uncertain, Which Impacts Eastern Cool
Apr 26, 2012; 8:27 AM ET
There will be more blocking heading into May, especially from late week one of May into week two, but its the intensity that is uncertain to determine how cool May will turn out in the East.
Neutral ENSO Summer, Trending EL Nino With Impacts
Apr 25, 2012; 9:21 AM ET
The phase change to neutral then possible El NIno conditions by Fall can lead to precipitation in areas that we have not see over the past couple of summers.
2006 Close Look to Current April
Apr 25, 2012; 8:47 AM ET
Today I took a look at the the years in my analog package for the summer and looked speciifically at April to see and matches. 2006 was the closet right now and this was the outcome through August.
Cool Will Be Stubborn in the Northeast and Lakes
Apr 25, 2012; 8:17 AM ET
What we have seen over the past several days on the models is a trend toward keeping the real warmth away from the Northeast for the rest of April. The core stays in the Rockies and Plains
Cold System Late Week, Snow Again?
Apr 24, 2012; 10:05 AM ET
More chill than warm expected now from the Lakes, northern Ohio Valley to the northern Mid Atlantic and Northeast. Wave moving along front late weekend could get interesting again.
Heat and DrynessDevelops and Expands Over 90 Day Period
Apr 24, 2012; 9:24 AM ET
Heat building and expanding across the western Plains and eastern Rockies during the next 90 days. Back and forth pattern continues in the Lakes and Appalachians
Cool Will Hold Lakes/Northeast For Rest of the Month
Apr 24, 2012; 7:52 AM ET
Big upper trough sticks around through Thursday in the Northeast, then a couple of systems will track across the Ohio Valley and Mid Atlantic dividing cool to the north, warm south.
Euro Hit Current Storm, What Believe Thru Next Week
Apr 23, 2012; 8:59 AM ET
Tough call on late this week into next week week. It is not as clear as to which model might be on to a faster moving pattern compared to this weekend.
Blocking Holds Much of This Week, Eases Next Week, Then?
Apr 23, 2012; 8:35 AM ET
Blocking is strong right now over the northern Atlantic and will ease by early next week. However, blocking could return for week three with impacts.
Model Nightmare, Too Much Waffling To Change
Apr 23, 2012; 8:17 AM ET
Its been rough over the past few days trying to time warm and cool air masses from the Plains on east. It may take a day or two to see clearly next week's forecast.
JMA Forecast
Apr 19, 2012; 9:27 AM ET
May Through July Forecast setting up warm and dry Front Range of the Rockies and western Plains. JMA forecast shifting heat north this Summer.
Storm or No Storm? Back and Forth Temperatures Next Week
Apr 19, 2012; 8:56 AM ET
Next week starts cool then ends milder in the East. The Ohio Valley will be warming by midweek after a frosty start.
Upper Pattern Differences Will Give Different Ideas
Apr 18, 2012; 9:08 AM ET
Euro and GFS battling hard and the outcome may be decided by what occurs out over the Pacific.
Potential Strong System This Weekend, 11-15 Day Concerns
Apr 18, 2012; 8:44 AM ET
I want to spend some time on the storm that tries to develop late this weekend and also on the 11-15 day warm up.
Beryl Crawling North
May 28, 2012; 6:55 PM ET
Tropical Expert
Plains/Midwest Storms
May 28, 2012; 6:48 PM ET
Severe thunderstorms capable of large, damaging hail and destructive winds will remain possible into late Monday evening. The majority of hte storms will target the Upper MIdwest and southern Plains
Breaking Weather: Memorial Day Storms
May 28, 2012; 6:35 PM ET
Severe weather will be possible into early Monday night over the plains and the Upper Midwest.
Drenching Thunderstorms Lurk for the Mets' Game Tomorrow
May 28, 2012; 5:00 PM ET
... as the Rangers sizzle under a blazing sun.
Hot and Stormy
May 28, 2012; 4:04 PM ET
The current weather pattern includes a lot of heat and thunderstorms for much of the country.
Madison Marathoners Brave Steamy Weather
May 28, 2012; 2:00 PM ET
Temperatures soared into the 90s for the Madison Half Marathon on Sunday. Adrienne Veilleux has more.
Holiday Halted by Wild Weather
May 28, 2012; 8:00 AM ET
Tropical Storm Beryl and the heat took center stage this weekend.
Rip Currents
May 28, 2012; 5:00 AM ET
Rip currents are a lifeguard's worst nightmare and account for about 80% of all beach rescues. Adrienne Veilleux explains more about this dangerous beach phenomenon.
Have Fun in the Water While Being Safe
May 28, 2012; 5:00 AM ET
As it gets warmer, many will flock to the pool or beach to cool off. But it's important to follow some water safety tips so that the fun doesn't turn into a nightmare. Jeannette Calle reports.
First Coastal Flooding
May 28, 2012; 8:00 AM ET
Tropical Storm Beryl slammed the Jacksonville area with high winds and heavy rain.
Dallas, Texas Trex-as
May 28, 2012; 2:12 AM ET
Volunteers continued a 1,700-mile trek through the sweltering heat.
Wildfires Stall Holiday Traffic
May 27, 2012; 8:00 PM ET
In Orlando, Fla., brushfires closed Interstate 4 as thousands tried to leave for the weekend.