The AccuWeather.com Long-Range Forecasting Team has Chicago right in the middle of where the worst of winter 2011-2012's snow and cold is expected to be.
"Last winter was nasty in Chicago. This winter could be just as bad," warned AccuWeather.com Expert Long-Range Meteorologist Bob Smerbeck.
This will make it the fifth winter in a row with snowfall well above normal and temperatures well below average for the city. The last time there were this many back-to-back winters with snowfall well above normal was in the 1970s.
Last year's winter was certainly rough. Most notable was the historic blizzard that hammered the city on the first two days of February, dumping more than 20 inches of snow in just 24 hours. The storm forced hundreds of people who became stuck on Lakeshore Drive to abandon their vehicles.
Paul Pastelok, AccuWeather.com Expert Long-Range Meteorologist and leader of the Long-Range Forecasting Team, said this winter will be similar to last year, in terms of both snow and cold.
"The difference, though, is that last year, Chicago was hit with heavy snow later in the season. This year, it will be earlier," Pastelok explained.
He added, "They had one big storm last year that brought their snowfall to well above average. This year, there could be several big ones."
Bitter cold is also expected to come on strong early in the season during December. Temperatures are forecast to remain below normal into January, then perhaps trend a bit closer to average in February.
(Average is 39 inches; Years with above-normal snowfall are in bold):
A tropical wave is likely to become the Atlantic Basin's next tropical storm as it approaches or crosses the Caribbean Sea later this week and potentially pose eventual threats to North America.
Fall air has finally arrived in the northeastern United States and may yield the first frost of the season in parts of the region to end this weekend.
Typhoon Megi will continue to strengthen before threatening lives and property across Taiwan and eastern China this week.
Bouts of heavy rain and thunderstorms will continue to soak portions of Texas into Monday night, further heightening the risk of flooding.
Wintry weather marked the first days of autumn across parts of the Mountain West as snow mixed in with the changing fall foliage.
Gusty winds will accompany a push of chilly air across the Great Lakes from Sunday night through Tuesday.
Washington, D.C. (1975)
Last of nine straight days with some rain. Total rainfall of 9.86 inches; total for September 1975 was was 12.36 inches.
Cape Hatteras, NC (1989)
Rained every day from the 12th to the 25th for a total of 15.51 inches. Normal for all of September is 5.78 inches.
Portland, ME (1991)
Record combined August-September rainfall of 19.65 inches up to Sept. 25. Old record was 14.65 inches in August-September 1954.