NOTE: This forecast was published in October 2011 and has since been updated; see our full-length 2012-2013 AccuWeather.com Winter Forecast update for the latest information.
The Long-Range Team expects areas from northeastern Texas and Oklahoma into Kentucky and Tennessee to deal with more ice than snow events this winter, especially from early to mid-season.
Occasionally, icing could affect areas farther east into the western Carolinas and northern parts of Alabama and Georgia, especially in January.
The team also expects a significant risk for severe weather and flood events to develop over the lower Mississippi Valley in February. Mississippi, Alabama and Tennessee, which were devastated by tornadoes in the spring, will be extremely sensitive to any severe weather outbreaks.
As for temperatures, winter 2011-2012 is forecast to average out milder than last winter across the Southeast, especially for locations from Florida into southern Georgia and eastern South Carolina. However, there could be a period of cold weather in this region from mid-December into early January with an early frost or freeze.
Starting in late January, milder-than-normal conditions are expected to be more dominant.
Precipitation is forecast to average out below normal from Florida into parts of the Carolinas. A drier-than-normal winter could exacerbate the extreme drought that is gripping central and southern Georgia and parts of South Carolina.
Areas from the western Carolinas into northern parts of Georgia and Alabama will turn out wetter, according to Pastelok.
The stream of moisture into the Southwest is drying out some, so this weekend may not be as wet as the previous few days.
The air felt like an exceptional 163 F in Bandar Mahshahr, Iran, on Friday and similar or worse conditions will follow.
Drenching thunderstorms bring little-to-no relief to drought-stricken areas of the Sunshine State.
With no exact details on where Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 went missing, Indian Ocean currents may have swept one piece of the complicated puzzle to shores on Reunion Island.
In the most destructive hurricane season in recorded history, images from Katrina, Rita, Wilma and others still resonate today and immediately bring to mind the total despair millions of Americans faced in 2005.
After months of below-normal rainfall, Santiago, Chile, could finally be looking at some beneficial rain for the middle of next week.
Texas Coast (1989)
Tropical Storm Chantal came onshore at High Island, Texas, 30 miles NE of Galveston. Winds gusted to 70-80 mph and 6-12" of rain fell.
Hurricane Erin just off the east coast with 85 mph sustained winds.
College Station,TX (1998)
106 degrees - a record 27th consecutive day of reaching at least 100 degrees. (The streak ended after 30 days).