While Tropical Rainstorm Carlotta continues to dissipate over the southwestern Mexican coast, Accuweather.com is watching the potential for tropical development in the Atlantic Basin next week.
Pieces of Carlotta are expected to push into the southern Gulf of Mexico by Tuesday or Wednesday of this week, at which time it may meet up with a tropical wave currently bringing showers and thunderstorms to the central Caribbean.
The union of these two features may be enough to spawn a new center of circulation over the southern Gulf of Mexico or the Bay of Campeche.
If an organized tropical system does form in the Atlantic basin, it would be named Chris, per the 2012 Atlantic Hurricane season list.
With an upper-air ridge of high pressure forecast to take hold over the northern Gulf of Mexico, any storm that does develop may be slow to advance. The system might either hold stationary in the Bay of Campeche or progress west-northwestward into Mexico.
Accuweather.com Expert Senior Meteorologist Brian Wimer also notes that, while still too early to tell, "any tropical feature that develops could potentially head north toward Texas."
Forecast models continue to differ on the timing, location and extent of any development, but if an organized system does push into the Lone Star State, it could spell periods of heavy rain from the Rio Grande Valley to the mid-Texas coast.
This rain would be beneficial to the region, but any prolonged period of heavy rain could still lead to flash flooding.
Accuweather.com meteorologist Meghan Evans has more on the development potential next week.
Visit the AccuWeather.com Hurricane Center for continuing updates with tropical discussions by expert meteorologists.
The risk of drenching and locally gusty thunderstorms has expanded to parts of Southern California, Arizona and Nevada.
The Northwest is dealing with yet another record-challenging heat wave to close out July. While relief will come next week, this heat wave will not be the last of the summer.
A cold front will press southward bringing relief from the heat to Spain, Italy and southeast Europe late this week.
Following the steam bath of this week, the weather around Washington, D.C., and Baltimore will not be in a hurry to cool down.
Flooding monsoon rain will continue this week in India and southeast Pakistan, but a drier pattern is expected to set in during August.
In the most destructive hurricane season in recorded history, images from Katrina, Rita, Wilma and others still resonate today and immediately bring to mind the total despair millions of Americans faced in 2005.
11 of the past 12 days brought heavy rain to at least some part of the state.
Thunderstorms with heavy rain flood and washed out many roads across the northeastern part of the state.
Columbia, SC (1991)
July 1991 became the wettest month ever with 17.46" of rain. The old record was 16.72" set in August 1949.