Watching for Development in the Tropical Atlantic

By , Senior Meteorologist
Jul 31, 2010; 4:50 PM ET
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AccuWeather.com meteorologists are monitoring the possibility that the large cluster of showers and thunderstorms above forms into a more organized tropical system in upcoming days.

The tropical Atlantic has remained quiet since the demise of Tropical Storm Bonnie last Saturday. However, that may change next week.

The AccuWeather.com Hurricane Center is monitoring the possibility that a tropical wave just west of the Cape Verde Islands ends the quiet spell in the Atlantic.

The wave is being accompanied by a large area of showers and thunderstorms, but it is rather disorganized at this time.

The wave could develop into a more organized tropical system as it moves westward in upcoming days. The wave is passing over water that is warmer than normal.

Strong winds high in the atmosphere, also known as wind shear, do not lie in the path of the wave. Strong wind shear rips apart tropical systems, and was the reason for the demise of Tropical Storm Bonnie last weekend.

The current track of the wave should allow it to cross the Lesser Antilles either on Wednesday or Thursday. Even if intensification has not occurred by this time, the wave still threatens to spread drenching showers and thunderstorms over the islands.

Another Area of Concern

While the tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic has the greatest potential of developing, a close eye is also being kept on another tropical wave in the southern Caribbean.

The latter wave is not being accompanied by significant shower and thunderstorm activity. However, that activity could increase, and the wave is moving through an environment that would support development.

The wave is passing over the very warm waters of the southern Caribbean and is not being hindered by strong wind shear.

However, even if the wave manages to develop, it will move into Central America before any significant strengthening takes place.

The next tropical storm that forms in the Atlantic Basin would acquire the name "Colin."

Related to the Story:

AccuWeather.com Hurricane Center

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