Hurricane Ingrid Threatens Major Flooding to Mexico

By , Senior Meteorologist
September 15, 2013; 5:45 AM ET
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The southwestern Gulf of Mexico has given birth to Hurricane Ingrid in the Atlantic. The system will spread flooding downpours into eastern Mexico and some much-needed rain into South Texas.

Ingrid has already been a very slow-moving system, which will lead to a potential for very damaging and life-threatening flooding in portions of eastern Mexico.

The greatest impacts from Ingrid will be heavy rainfall and the potential for flooding and mudslides.

A general 8 to 16 inches of rain is likely to fall over the Mexican states of Veracruz and southern and central Tamaulipas, into the first part of next week. The cities of Veracruz, Poza Rica, Ciudad Victoria and Tampico, as well as highways 101 and 180 are likely to be affected by travel disruptions.

According to Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski, "Some moisture from Eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Manuel is likely to converge with Ingrid's moisture over the central part of Mexico and could lead to disastrous flooding."

There is the potential for up to 2 feet of rain, especially over the Sierra Madre Oriental as Ingrid drifts inland before breaking up.

Depending on the strength of Ingrid, there is also the potential for rough surf and seas over part of the western Gulf, which could potentially disrupt bathers, fishing and petroleum operations in the region for a time this weekend.

Small craft operators should exercise caution over the Bay of Campeche through the weekend as the weather can deteriorate quickly with the development of heavy squalls.

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Part of eastern Mexico has been hit by multiple tropical systems with flooding in recent weeks including Fernand and Tropical Depression Eight.

Ingrid also brings an opportunity for needed rainfall farther north along the Mexico coast and as far north as South Texas. Any reasonable rainfall will be welcome by many residential and agricultural interests over the Rio Grande Valley.

Average rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches are expected through early next week over extreme South Texas with locally higher amounts possible.

"Enough rain could fall to raise water levels on the lower part of the Rio Grande River," Kottlowski said.

More precise details as to the amount of rainfall and magnitude of problems will unfold this weekend as the system develops and establishes a track over the Bay of Campeche.


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