Tropical Storm Rafael is currently moving away from the Lesser Antilles, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico this morning.
Rafael will continue to maintain tropical storm strength as it tracks towards the north-northwest. Although the storm is moving away from the islands, heavy rains and gusty winds will continue.
Sheets of rain and wind is expected to drench many of the region's islands, some to the point of flooding. Low lying areas, and those with poor drainage, such as urban areas, will be most at risk for flooding.
Inches of rainfall are likely due to the slow-moving nature of the storm. Continuous rainfall in the mountainous islands could create a problem with mudslides. As the rains soak the soils, whole hillsides can turn into a fast-moving sheet of mud.
The strongest winds of Rafael will likely occur in the US Virgin Islands, just to the right of the storm's center. Damaging gusts past 60 miles per hour are expected, certainly fast enough to cause damage.
On top of rain and wind concerns, rough surf will pound the southern shores of the region, with waves reaching as high a 8 feet over the open water. Such surf usually brings rip currents, which can easily pull unsuspecting swimmers out to sea.
Lastly, the continuous rainfall in the mountainous region could create a problem with mudslides. As the rains soak the soils, whole hillsides can turn into a fast-moving sheet of mud.
Rafael won't be finished after impacting the Antilles. The storm is currently set to impact Bermuda as early as Tuesday morning. How strong the system will be when it passes Bermuda is unclear. There may be an opening for Rafael to strengthen, becoming a hurricane late Monday or early Tuesday.
Even if Rafael is stronger when it passes Bermuda, it will be moving much quicker by that point, so the window for impacts will be generally smaller.
Rafael may then take aim at Newfoundland around Wednesday night.
Home page caption image provided by Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies
Temperatures will take a tumble across the northeastern United States during the first half of this week.
Beneficial rain will douse California late this week, with the potential for some rain to reach southern portions of the state.
Following a chilly World Series opener during Tuesday evening, a chilly rain may threaten play for Game 2 in Cleveland on Wednesday evening.
A strengthening tropical cyclone will unleash heavy rain and strong winds on areas from western Myanmar to northeast India and Bangladesh this week.
Cool air that has been in place across the United Kingdom over the past week will be replaced with milder air by the middle of the week.
Flooding downpours and thunderstorms will target a part of the central United States from Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday.
Tampa, FL (1921)
Hurricane "most destructive/highest tide," pressure 28.81"/975.6 mb, winds 100 mph, tide 10.5 feet, six dead and $3 million damage.
Strong coastal storm with winds exceeding 100 mph over the ocean; 82-mph wind gust at south end of Chesapeake Bay Bridge Tunnel. Bethany Beach Delaware being evacuated as waves came over the dunes. Heavy snow in NC mountains. Mt. Pisgah - 11 inches; Mt. Mitchell - 6 inches.
Caribou, ME (1990)
19 consecutive days of measurable precipitation.