Hurricane Paul has formed out of a mass of moisture in the eastern Pacific and is set to bring significant impacts to Baja California.
Currently a hurricane, Paul is on a collision course with the Baja Peninsula of Mexico. Paul was a Category 3 Major Hurricane for a short period overnight, however the storm recently weakened back down to a Category 2.
Eventually Paul will turn back out to sea, however not before bringing significant impacts to the Baja Peninsula, including a potential landfall. Current model forecasts bring the center of Paul onshore in the northern portions of the Mexican State of Baja California Sur.
While currently a Category 2 hurricane, the storm is expected to weaken before making landfall due to cool ocean temperatures and increasing wind shear. Paul is currently expected to make landfall as either a category 1 hurricane, or a strong tropical storm
Significant rainfall is already occurring across the Baja Peninsula as of early Tuesday. Flash flooding will be a major concern to the area due to the amount of rainfall possible.
Eventually Paul will take a turn to the northwest, as high pressure over the Southwestern United States will prevent the system from continuing to the Northeast. Once out over the open Pacific, Paul will continue to weaken before eventually dissipating.
While bringing major impacts to the Baja Peninsula and northwestern Mexico, the moisture from Paul is not expected to bring major impacts to the southwestern U.S. Moisture from Paul will however contribute to a front pushing south across Texas, helping to spark showers and thunderstorms across the region Tuesday.
Thumbnail and header satellite image of Hurricane Paul provided by the Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies
After temperatures briefly climb to typical midsummer levels, another cooldown will roll into the Midwest and expand to the East for the last part of July.
A cold front pushing through the Southeast will bring the risk of severe weather to part of the region Thursday.
Tropical Depression Two has lost its battle to become the next Atlantic tropical storm, but it will still increase shower activity across the Caribbean to end the week.
A potent storm system moving out of the Northwest United States will bring an elevated risk of tornadoes to parts of Alberta and Saskatchewan on Thursday.
Severe thunderstorms that blasted areas of Arkansas with damaging winds and heavy rainfall will continue to race through eastern Texas.
As California continues to be plagued by intense drought conditions, some surfers are reaping what may be one of very few benefits to such a dry season.
New York (1975)
Severe thunderstorms in western and central NY: lightning struck a city park in Rochester injuring 12 children, all were playing on a metal jungle gym. One patrolman described the scene as if "someone threw a stick of dynamite in the middle of the crowd and it blew."
Southeastern MA (1990)
Torrential rains: Middleboro 7.20" Bridgewater 5.00" Tauton 4.33" Abington 3.05" Cars were stranded in high water in Fall River, MA.
Phoenix, AZ (1992)
Between 4" and 6" of rain fell in locally heavy downpours.