Tropical Atlantic Lull in Wake of Debby

By , Expert Senior Meteorologist
June 29, 2012; 6:28 AM
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It appears the Atlantic Basin will take a break in the wake of Debby with no rigorous systems foreseen on the near horizon.

Away from Debby and the front which it has become embedded, the tropical Atlantic is looking relatively clean in terms of cloud cover.

There are a couple of clusters of thunderstorms moving westward, off the coast of Africa near the equator, which AccuWeather.com meteorologists are monitoring.

According to Tropical Weather Expert Dan Kottlowski, "The tropical waves moving off of Africa will be hindered by dry air, dust and relatively cool sea-surface water."

The dust which blows off of the Sahara Desert is often an indicator of air too dry for tropical storm formation. Warm water is also needed to initiate thunderstorm development and strengthening of tropical systems.


This satellite photo was taken Thursday morning, June 28, 2012.

"The first four tropical systems that have formed in the Atlantic Basin this season have developed along old frontal boundaries or out of weak upper-level storms," Kottlowski said.

We are getting away from the time of the year for this to occur as both usually fail to dip far enough southward in the tropical Atlantic.

"As a result, we are entering a general quiet time in the basin, prior to the peak of the Cape Verde season," Kottlowski said.

The action of disturbances moving westward off the Africa coast is referred to as the Cape Verde season and usually peaks in September.

As far as any trouble spots are concerned we still have the weak frontal zone from the wake of Debby extending from the northwestern Gulf of Mexico to northeast of the Bahamas to keep an eye on.

The flow around a large area of high pressure stretching from the central Plains to the southern Atlantic Seaboard could impart a spin-up system in the southern Gulf of Mexico over the next couple of weeks, provided wind shear is not too great.

If one of the waves moving westward off Africa is able to overcome the dry air surrounding it, it is possible that a system will organize.

"However, for now, good news for folks in the tropics or on the U.S coast, no worries for at least the next several days," Kottlowski added.

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