The tropical disturbance that grew into a tropical depression Monday in the western Caribbean maintained its status Monday night as it moved across the southern part of the Yucatan Peninsula.
The system will unleash torrential rainfall and the potential for flooding and mudslides in the region. Although unlikely, there is a chance the system becomes Tropical Storm Barry before reaching mainland Mexico at midweek.
Tropical downpours from northern Honduras to southeastern Mexico can easily produce several inches of rain in a short amount of time. Two-day rainfall, as of Monday morning, in Honduras includes 5.64 inches in La Ceiba and 4.26 inches in Trujillo.
Proximity to land is expected to limit the development of this system into Tuesday night before it moves closer to the warm waters of Bay of Campeche.
The system is forecast to briefly move over warm water early Wednesday morning into early Thursday; however, if the system tracks farther south, interactions between the system and the ocean will be limited. If this occurs, the depression will likely weaken.
The second name on the list of tropical storms in the Atlantic Basin for 2013 is Barry.
Beyond Wednesday, most tropical rains should move inland (westward) over Mexico.
There is a chance that some of the moisture from the system is funneled into part of south and west Texas late in the week well after the second landfall.
Expert Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski contributed to the content of this story.
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