Tropical Cyclone Spins Up In Bay of Bengal

By Evan Duffey, Meteorologist
November 18, 2012; 3:43 PM ET
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An area of convection in the Bay of Bengal has formed into a tropical cyclone, and will eventually set it sights on India.

The storm Tropical Cyclone 3, is currently spinning at 40 mph, the equivalent of a tropical storm in the Atlantic or Eastern Pacific Basins. The storm is producing gusts to 50 mph as well.

The storm is expected to maintain its strength as it moves slowly southwest over the coming days. Eventually the storm is expected to impact India.

The circulation from the storm will likely struggle to reach the mainland however. Moderate wind shear over the region will fight any future development and eventually work to weaken the storm.

India had a rather poor early monsoon season this year, however enough rain could be found during the second half to allow some recovery in the agricultural sector. While the rain will not be completely unwelcome, it will not be as desperately needed as it once was.

In fact if enough rainfall falls quickly, concerns for flash flooding are possible, especially in the eastern Ghats, the mountain chain of eastern India where terrain can funnel rainwater towards low lying areas and also produce landslides with intense rainfall.

Tropical Cyclone Three is the lone tropical cyclone across the worlds oceans at the minute, and is likely to remain that way over the coming couple of days.

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