While an area in the Eastern Pacific has yielded the first tropical cyclone of the 2012 season, the Caribbean could show some signs of life later this month.
A broad area of low pressure is expected to form very slowly in the area around Central America and the western Caribbean.
Folks living in the region around Central America to Cuba, Jamaica, The Bahamas and South Florida should not be overly concerned at this point.
Chances are this system will never become strong or well organized.
However, it could spread a swath of downpours over the region. Even a weak, disorganized system can produce clusters of heavy, gusty thunderstorms, which would be a problem for pleasure boaters, beach goers and fishing interests.
According to Tropical Weather Expert Dan Kottlowski, "This is likely to end up like about a dozen or so systems during the season that do not reach tropical storm status."
"The system will not have any tropical waves coming in from the east to give it a jump start, but a non-tropical feature arriving from the northwest next week may just help create a broad area of low pressure or gyre," Kottlowski added.
We are in a neutral phase of the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO). This is the fluctuation of sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean.
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When the tropical Pacific surface water is warmer than average, it is considered an El Nino, When it is cooler than average it is considered La Nina.
During an El Nino, (warm water phase) air tends to rise over the tropical Pacific Ocean, supporting the formation of tropical cyclones. Correspondingly, air tends to sink over the Atlantic, working against the formation of tropical cyclones.
It tends to work just the opposite during a La Nina phase of the ENSO.
"Since we are in a neutral phase, we should not expect any substantial interference or gain at this point of the season by the ENSO," Kottlowski said.
The start of the Atlantic hurricane season is not until June 1, but tropical storms have formed as early as January and February with hurricanes as early as March.
This story was first published on Friday, May 11, 2012 and has been updated.
The risk of flooding from Odile will spill onto Texas and parts of the southern and central Plains late this week into the weekend.
Torrential rainfall slammed parts of Serbia over the weekend, resulting in two deaths as rushing waters sliced through area streets.
Igniting across Northern skies, ghostly rivers of light dance overhead each year, emitting vibrant shades of green, blue, pink, red and violet.
On Tuesday, Edouard became the first major hurricane in the Atlantic since Sandy. While Edouard remains at sea, rough surf will reach some Atlantic coast beaches.
Moisture from Tropical Rainstorm Odile will deliver torrential rainfall and cause life-threatening flooding over the interior Southwest through the balance of the week.
The chilliest air of the season so far will settle over much of the Northeast Thursday into Friday and will bring frost to a large area.
Denver, CO (2000)
High reaches 95 degrees. This is the 61st day of the year at or above 90 degrees - this broke the old annual record of 60 days in 1994.
San Diego, CA (1913)
110 degrees - hottest day ever.
The Rockies (1965)
Greatest Sept. snow over Wyoming Rockies at Lander, 20.5 inches.