While an area in the Eastern Pacific has yielded the first tropical cyclone of the 2012 season, the Caribbean could show some signs of life later this month.
A broad area of low pressure is expected to form very slowly in the area around Central America and the western Caribbean.
Folks living in the region around Central America to Cuba, Jamaica, The Bahamas and South Florida should not be overly concerned at this point.
Chances are this system will never become strong or well organized.
However, it could spread a swath of downpours over the region. Even a weak, disorganized system can produce clusters of heavy, gusty thunderstorms, which would be a problem for pleasure boaters, beach goers and fishing interests.
According to Tropical Weather Expert Dan Kottlowski, "This is likely to end up like about a dozen or so systems during the season that do not reach tropical storm status."
"The system will not have any tropical waves coming in from the east to give it a jump start, but a non-tropical feature arriving from the northwest next week may just help create a broad area of low pressure or gyre," Kottlowski added.
We are in a neutral phase of the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO). This is the fluctuation of sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean.
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When the tropical Pacific surface water is warmer than average, it is considered an El Nino, When it is cooler than average it is considered La Nina.
During an El Nino, (warm water phase) air tends to rise over the tropical Pacific Ocean, supporting the formation of tropical cyclones. Correspondingly, air tends to sink over the Atlantic, working against the formation of tropical cyclones.
It tends to work just the opposite during a La Nina phase of the ENSO.
"Since we are in a neutral phase, we should not expect any substantial interference or gain at this point of the season by the ENSO," Kottlowski said.
The start of the Atlantic hurricane season is not until June 1, but tropical storms have formed as early as January and February with hurricanes as early as March.
This story was first published on Friday, May 11, 2012 and has been updated.
A warmer weather pattern is forecast for much of the Central and Eastern states, while temperatures should throttle back in the Northwest during the middle of August.
Japan and South Korea face tropical floods into this weekend; the danger of a typhoon looms for next week.
An increase in moisture from the Southwest monsoon will fuel showers and heavy thunderstorms across the interior West through the weekend.
“Sharknado” fans who live in fear of a shark-filled tornado can rest easy, the idea still remains completely implausible. However, the weather has been known to cause several head-scratching events, ranging from seemingly apocalyptic to downright bizarre.
Days of sunshine and mild weather will remain in the Dallas area into next week.
We asked our fans what worries them most about the beach in the summer. Here are the results.
Hurricane Erin just off the east coast with 85 mph sustained winds.
College Station,TX (1998)
106 degrees - a record 27th consecutive day of reaching at least 100 degrees. (The streak ended after 30 days).
Westchester Co.,NY (1812)
Tornado in Westchester Co., NY through parts of White Plains, Harrison, Rye and Greenwich. The same tornado today would have affected Interstates 287, 87, 95 and other major thoroughfares.