Tropical Activity Continues in the Caribbean

May 31, 2012; 7:32 PM ET
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Showers and thunderstorms continue to bubble up in the northwestern end of the Caribbean at midweek.

Meteorologists in the AccuWeather.com Hurricane Center continue to monitor an area of disturbed weather between Jamaica and Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula.

According to Tropical Weather Expert Dan Kottlowski, "Wind shear from a weak upper-level storm just to the west continues to tear away at the feature, inhibiting development."

Wind shear is a zone of strong straight-lines winds in the horizontal in the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere, which tends to prevent tropical storm formation and can cause hurricanes to weaken.

Since a dip in the jet stream (strong winds in the upper atmosphere) is forecast sweep into part of the Gulf of Mexico later this week and weekend with its wind shear, chances are small that any organized feature will come out of the disturbed area.

It appears the jet stream dip will attempt to scoop up some of the shower and thunderstorm activity and throw it northeastward across western Cuba, the Florida Keys and perhaps the South Florida Peninsula and the Bahamas late in the week and over the weekend.

The potential heavier squalls associated with this feature could cause some disruptions to outdoor activities in South Florida Friday into Saturday.

There is also a strong tropical wave moving westward over the Windward Islands with squally rain into Thursday.

"It is possible this wave plows along and attempts to spin something up in the Eastern Pacific next week, after crossing central America this weekend," Kottlowski said.

"As for Beryl, the system will move out to the northeast off the coast of North Carolina tonight and could continue to strengthen over the open waters of the Atlantic through Thursday," Kottlowski added.

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