Three Hurricanes May Prowl the Atlantic Next Week
This is the GFS model's interpretation of the tropical Atlantic on Wednesday, Sept. 15, 2010. Igor is the "L" in the middle. The other two trouble makers lie to the left and right of Igor.
While currently Igor is far from a monster, and we have a lull in the tropical Atlantic, three hurricanes may prowl the Atlantic later next week.
AccuWeather.com Hurricane Expert Joe Bastardi insists his early-season prediction count of 13 to 15 named tropical storms by the end of September will hold true this season.
"We only had a 36-hour period without a tropical system over the past couple of weeks," Joe stated Thursday morning.
Computer models seem to be supportive of Joe's prediction Thursday with not only Igor churning Atlantic waters, but also "Julia" and "Karl" joining in on a new tropical frenzy next week.
A mass of thunderstorms, currently moving westward across Africa, is one of the new disturbances expected to become a tropical storm after cruising the Atlantic for a short time in the next five to seven days.
Another, much closer cluster of showers and thunderstorms, currently near the Lesser Antilles, is the second system waiting to be born during the same period.
Joe is concerned that while Igor could still slip farther west than computer models suggest, that two of the three systems could impact the U.S.
"Not only are the tropics becoming more favorable for development during the next week, but steering winds and shifting weather systems may allow the systems to get very close to the U.S.," Joe added.
Recall that during the most recent burst of tropical activity in the Atlantic, Earl and Hermine had direct impacts on the U.S.
The United States is not the only nation that should keep an eye on the soon-to-be-a-situation in the Atlantic.
At least one system is likely to be churning the waters of the Caribbean next week. That system, if it develops, may not only threaten the northwest Gulf of Mexico coast but also may impact some Caribbean islands, Mexico and Central America in its travels.
Meteorologist Mark Mancuso stated, "It may take until the system reaches the western Caribbean before it gels."
Igor and the newest disturbance over Africa would drift more westward, rather than northward over the next week, bringing them closer to North America and Caribbean waters.
While it remains to be seen if all three systems are "alive" at the same time, the tropical Atlantic has great potential to become a long-running atmospheric horror show at midmonth.
Joe Bastardi is maintaining his prediction of 18-21 named systems in the Atlantic basin during the 2010 hurricane season.
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