The weather for early next week over the South-Central United States hinges on whether or not a storm forms and stalls over the region.
There are some weather patterns that allow meteorologists to warn if a storm is on the way nearly a week in advance and other pattern where the weather is uncertain a day before.
It could be more like the latter over the southern Plains and lower Mississippi Valley Monday into Tuesday.
Some of our forecasting tools are telling us a storm will form and stall over the region, while only a few suggest a front will sweep through Sunday into early Monday with a few hours of showers and thunderstorm.
According to Southern Weather Expert Dan Kottlowski, "A stalled storm of this nature, known as a 'closed low,' over the region this time of the year is highly unusual."
Typically steering westerly winds are too strong across the southern U.S. in November.
"A closed low a little more common across the northern States and in Canada," Kottlowski said.
If the storm were to form, strengthen and stall over the region, a zone from eastern Texas to the southern Appalachians could have multiple days of clouds, rain and thunderstorms.
So, unfortunately, this is a wait-and-see situation for at least a couple of days.
The storm is on the maps right now and taking a path similar to others in recent weeks. The weak storm was dropping southward along the California coast during Thanksgiving Day and will push across northern Mexico on Black Friday. The storm will bring some needed rain to western drought areas.
All the more reason, perhaps to believe that the storm will move steadily along across the South-Central states, like other similar storms have done during November.
A major Thanksgiving Day storm threatens to ruin holiday events across the Central states with flooding rain, snow, a glaze of ice and fog.
Hurricane Sandra remains on track to target northern Mexico Friday and Saturday, but it should be much weaker at landfall than the major hurricane status it is currently strengthening to.
Unsettled weather will stretch across the United Kingdom on 27th November as millions set out in search of the best Black Friday deals on offer.
Winterlike conditions will continue disrupt travel across the Intermountain West leading up to Thanksgiving.
Compared to Thanksgiving Day in 2014, this Thanksgiving will be substantially warmer in the Northeast.
Wet weather will stretch from Texas to Michigan and could impact shoppers and slow travel during Black Friday.
A dozen tornadoes across these states.
Astoria, Or (1998)
5.56 inches of rain fell, setting a new all-time record. the previous rainfall record was 4.53 inches from January 9, 1966.
Great Appalachian Storm (24th-26th) developed greatest wind force, deepest snow, most severe early-season cold in history of the Northeast: 18.8 inches of snow at Akron, OH; Youngstown, OH, had a maximum 24-hour snowfall of 20.7 inches and a maximum single storm total of 28.7 inches; Steubenville, OH, had a maximum single storm total of 36.3 inches; Pittsburgh, PA, had a maximum 24-hour snowfall of 20.1 inches and a maximum single storm total of 27.7 inches; and Charleston, WV had a maximum 24-hour snowfall of 15.1 inches and a maximum single storm total of 25.6 inches. At coastal stations such as Newark and Boston single-minute wind speeds in excess of 80 mph were registered. There was a 108 mph gust at Newark. Peak gusts of 110 were noticed at Concord, NH; 108 mph at Newark, NJ; and 100 mph at Hartford, CT. Atop Mt. Washington, a wind gust of 160 mph hit from the southeast early on the 26th. Central Park, in the heart of sheltered Manhattan Island, set an 80-year record of 70 mph.