Monsoonal moisture over the Southwest will lessen somewhat early this week, but downpours will persist for some, leading to more flash flooding.
Moisture has been streaming northward into the southwestern quadrant of the U.S. over the last few days, leading to widespread drenching thunderstorms each afternoon and evening.
The moisture was streaming around a strong area of high pressure which was centered over the eastern Rockies and High Plains.
This high pressure system will continue to weaken and shift eastward as a large dip in the jet stream develops over the West Coast.
As the jet stream dives southward it will send that monsoonal moisture eastward, effectively drying out parts of the Southwest.
Still, enough moisture will persist through much of the upcoming week to produce more downpours and instances of flash flooding for some.
Heavy rains occurred on Saturday over southern Yavapai County, Ariz. where forest fires had left large burn scars. 2-4 inches of rain over this region in a short time lead to debris flows and mudslides as well as flooding of Turkey Creek and the Agua Fria.
A local bridge was washed out on the Havasu Creek at Supai, Ariz. as well.
More instances of flash flooding will occur through the first half of this week a bit farther east over the Colorado Rockies, eastern Arizona, and much of New Mexico while areas farther west dry out.
Daily bouts of drenching afternoon and evening thunderstorms will be common from Denver and Boulder, Colo. through Albuquerque, N.M. and Nogales, Ariz.
Thunderstorms across this region can produce rainfall rates of 1-2 inches per hour which is more than high enough to get flash flooding to occur. Especially since moisture values have been elevated for quite a while now.
Along with the heavy rainfall, dangerous cloud to ground lightning will threaten to postpone or delay any outdoor activities.
If flash flooding is occurring or imminent, take the proper precautions if you need to to travel. Never drive through a flooded roadway because you never know how deep the water might be.
Always carry an emergency kit in your vehicle in case you become stranded.
Heed all flash flood watches and warnings and keep an eye on the AccuWeather.com Severe Weather Center.
The coldest air of the winter is gripping much of the eastern United States and will feature single-digit and sub-zero temperatures in the Northeast through the Valentine's Day weekend.
The dangerous cold gripping the eastern United States will set the stage for disruptive snow and ice to unfold from Tennessee and Georgia to Maine Presidents Day into Tuesday.
A multi-vehicle accident involving more than 50 vehicles occurred amid snow showers and brutal cold and led to the shutdown of Interstate 78 in Lebanon County, Pennsylvania, Saturday morning.
Voters heading out to the polls on Saturday, Feb. 20, can expect mild weather and dry conditions for the next step in the 2016 Presidential Election.
Heavy rain will raise the risk of flooding across more than a dozen states in the Southeast on Presidents Day to the East Coast on Tuesday.
Winter's frigid air can bring with it possible plumbing problems, including frozen pipes.
New England (1940)
Valentine Day blizzard southern New England: 10-18 in. of snow along with gale winds.
Roofs collapse: Since noon, Feb. 13th, roofs collapsed at Police Building in Sparta, a tennis court northwest of Grand Rapids, and a bowling alley in Grand Haven due to weight of snow. In western Michigan this is one of the heaviest snow packs in the past 3 decades. Also in the Alpena area, a roof at the Air National Guard Base at Phelps Collins Airport collapsed.
Minneapolis, MN (1993)
Temperature 11.5 degrees above normal so far in February.