Will Emily Regenerate Near the Bahamas?

August 5, 2011; 7:00 AM ET
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Residents of southeastern Florida could be dealing with more than rip currents early this weekend with a possible reincarnated Emily set to pass extremely close to the coastline.

The weak circulation around the storm center was ripped up by the mountainous terrain of Hispaniola. Emily weakened to a remnant low pressure area on Thursday as a result.

Since Emily failed to make significant northward progress on Wednesday, the AccuWeather.com Hurricane Center pushed the system's future track closer to South Florida.

After unleashing torrential rain across Hispaniola and eastern Cuba into Friday, Emily could pass within 100 miles of Florida's easternmost point on Saturday as a re-strengthening tropical storm.

Pinpointing the exact track of Emily is crucial to determining the severity of its impacts on southeastern Florida.

The remnants of Emily will remain disorganized as it moves into the Bahamas.

Emily will try to restrengthen off the eastern coast of Florida this weekend, and it could bring bands of heavy rain to the region.

A track even closer or directly over Florida's eastern coast will prevent Emily from restrengthening but will still bring some gusty winds and heavy rain to South Florida.

As the AccuWeather.com Hurricane Center continues to refine the precise proximity Emily will track to South Florida, all residents and visitors in the area should monitor the tropical storm's progress.

Regardless of Emily's exact track, rough surf and rip currents will endanger swimmers at all beaches of Florida's east coast on Saturday. This danger will increase elsewhere along the southeastern U.S. coastline as the weekend progresses.

This satellite image, courtesy of NOAA, shows the disorganized remnants of Emily around Cuba early Friday morning.

Emily will likely not impact the Southeast coastline, from northeastern Florida northward, beyond the threat of rough surf and rip currents.

Instead, Emily should curve around to the northeast and head out into the open waters of the northwestern Atlantic. Such a turn is actually bad news in terms of drought relief, according to AccuWeather.com Meteorologist Brian Edwards.

"Interaction with the rugged terrain of the Greater Antilles (Hispaniola, Cuba and Puerto Rico) is and will continue to negatively impact Emily into Friday. If Emily moves away from these land areas, there is room to strengthen or regroup," Expert Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski said.


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