Not since 1999 has the formation of the third named tropical storm in the Atlantic Basin occurred past Aug. 18.
A train of tropical waves will attempt to fuel such development through the upcoming week, but there are significant hurdles in the way.
On average, the naming of the third tropical storm, or the storm beginning with the letter C, in the Atlantic Basin occurs around Aug. 13.
In 1999, it took Cindy until Aug. 20 at 5 p.m. EDT to develop. In 2000, it took Chris until Aug. 18 at 11 a.m. to develop. More recently, in 2009, Claudette formed on Aug. 16 at 2 p.m.
The combination of dry, dusty air, disruptive wind shear and lower-than-normal sea surface temperatures have been and will likely continue to put a lid on development in the Atlantic, stated AccuWeather.com Tropical Weather Expert Dan Kottlowski.
Wind shear refers to a belt of strong west to southwest winds above the surface that can shred apart tropical systems when strong enough.
A train of tropical waves, however, have a chance at bringing an end to the sluggish current hurricane season.
During this week, three tropical waves were moving westward through the Atlantic.
Development chances are virtually non-existent with the first wave. Instead, it is acting to "pave the way" for the other two waves following behind by working to clear the dry, dusty air that has been choking other systems.
"With three tropical waves moving across the Atlantic, each would have a chance to clear the dry air for the next system and set the stage for something to form tropically," stated AccuWeather.com Meteorologist Rob Miller.
"The best opportunity for the waves to develop may come as they approach the Lesser Antilles later next week and beyond."
Some indications point toward the third wave in the string taking a more northward path than the other waves and over water that is too cool for development.
A track that mirrors the other waves would keep it over warmer water and increase its potential to bring the tropical Atlantic alive.
The next tropical storm in the Atlantic would acquire the name "Cristobal."
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