Severe Weather Risk to Begin in Texas, Oklahoma
As a storm rolls southeastward along the Rockies, severe thunderstorms are forecast to erupt over portions of Texas and the southern Plains mid- to late-week.
Over the next few days, a storm taking shape over the southern Plains will dump up to a foot of snow over the central Plains, gusty winds over much of the region and rain and thunderstorms south and east of the storm track.
A pocket of thunderstorms will fire up ahead of the storm's arrival Wednesday.
The area will be centered over the lower Mississippi Valley with locally drenching showers and strong, gusty thunderstorms. A couple of the storms on the western edge of this area, over northeastern Texas and southeastern Oklahoma, could bring hail.
Thursday appears to be the day for potentially violent storms over west-central Texas and Oklahoma. By this time, the main storm system will have gotten under way with its snow in Colorado, Nebraska and portions of western Kansas.
The storm system will pull a swath of dry air in from the west, which will slam into a building zone of warm, moist, unstable air to the east.
RELATED: More Rain Coming to Texas
As a result, we see a risk of severe thunderstorms from near the Big Bend area of Texas northward to near the Kansas/Oklahoma state line. These storms are likely to bring the risk of damaging wind gusts, localized flash flooding, hail and perhaps a few tornadoes.
During Friday and Saturday, the storms may transition to more of a squall-line scenario moving farther east across Texas and Oklahoma and eventually into the lower Mississippi Valley. However, there may still be a slight risk of tornadoes in these areas during this time.
The storm will be re-organizing in place over the southern Plains area. The scope of the area of severe thunderstorms and the magnitude of the event will continue to be updated as the storm system itself takes shape.
People are urged to stay up-to-date on the storm.
As the storm system develops and strengthens, a general zone of strong winds will take shape, in clear air or well away from thunderstorms Thursday into Friday.
Areas of blowing dust are possible in portions of southern Arizona, southern New Mexico and southwestern Texas.
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Daily U.S. Extremes
past 24 hours
| Extreme | Location | |
|---|---|---|
| High | 100° | Smyrna, TN |
| Low | 15° | Sunset Crater, AZ |
| Precip | 3.99" | Wadena, MN |
WeatherWhys®
Hail is much more common during the months of May and June compared to July and August. The main reason is the fact that the freezing level is usually higher during July and August as pockets of cold air in the upper atmosphere are less common as the jet stream weakens and retreats farther north.
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