Sandy High Wind Risk for Baltimore

By , Expert Senior Meteorologist
October 25, 2012; 10:25 AM
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The greatest threat Sandy poses to Maryland and the Baltimore area is damaging winds and to some extent flooding rainfall.

While Sandy will be at sea this weekend, a last-minute left hook scenario is becoming more likely.

How nasty wind and rain would be in the Charm City and nearby areas on the I-95 corridor will depend on where landfall occurs. A landfall in New England would have much less impact than a westward landfall across the Delmarva.

At this point it appears a doomsday track northwestward across southeastern Virginia is not so likely in terms of tidal concerns on the Chesapeake Bay and the Inner Harbor. The wind flow would not be right for such an event.

However, a westward path over the Delmarva would bring serious coastal flooding and wind damage to the beaches. The same path would bring locally heavy rain, flash and urban flooding potential on the western flank of the storm, in the Baltimore, Washington, D.C. and Harrisburg, Pa., areas.

Even if Sandy cruises into New England, a period of strong west to northwest winds could develop over Virginia, Maryland and Pennsylvania as colder air rushes in, perhaps enough to cause downed tree limbs and power outages.

Ripple-effect flight delays could build Monday and Tuesday from the Midwest to the South caused by direct impact from Philadelphia northward to New York City and Boston.

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