Despite a quiet July in the Atlantic, the AccuWeather.com Long-Range Forecasting team still expects the 2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season to be near normal in terms of the number of named storms. The forecast calls for a total of 12 tropical storms, five named hurricanes and two major hurricanes.
With the number of named tropical storms and hurricanes so far this season factored in, there should be eight additional tropical storms, four of which will become hurricanes, through the rest of the hurricane season. Of those four hurricanes, two could strengthen into major hurricanes, Category 3 or higher.
Astronaut Ron Garan snapped this photo of Hurricane Irene from aboard the International Space Station on Aug. 22, 2011. NOAA averages are based on data from 1981-2010. This was the initial AccuWeather 2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast graphic released on April 26, 2012.
The tropics will become more active from the middle of August through the middle of September with an uptick in the number of named storms. This is the normal peak time of the Atlantic hurricane season.
The U.S. may be impacted by two more named tropical systems, according to AccuWeather Expert Senior Meteorologist Dan Kottlowski. The central Gulf Coast to the southern Virginia coast is most likely to get hit. Once again, Florida could be susceptible.
Flooding from Tropical Storm Debby in St. Petersburg, Fla. Photo was tweeted by Renee Greco.
The chances are lower for the western Gulf coast and northern Atlantic coast to endure a direct landfall of a named tropical system, but they are not immune. Even if a storm does not make landfall in these areas, there can still be impact of flooding rainfall far from where storms move inland.
A gradual fading of the season will occur during October, depending on how fast and strong El Niño comes on. El Niño is a phenomenon characterized by above-normal water temperatures across the central and equatorial Pacific. Water temperatures are warming in the Pacific with the pattern trending toward a weak El Niño.
When an El Niño pattern develops, it forces strong westerly winds high in the atmosphere to shift farther south across the Atlantic. More frequent episodes of high wind shear inhibit tropical development by preventing vertical building of clouds and a well-defined center.
A new moon will allow for the perfect background for the Orionid Meteor Shower, set to peak on Tuesday Oct. 21 and into the morning of Oct. 22.
Cars were swallowed by rushing floodwaters that diced through streets in the Canary Islands, Spain, over the weekend.
Storms, including Ana, are lining up over the northern Pacific, en route to the northwestern United States and British Columbia.
Attention in the tropics will turn to the swath from southeastern Mexico to Cuba and Florida, where a new tropical system may form late this week.
After impacting Bermuda and Newfoundland, Gonzalo will bring rain and damaging wind gusts to Europe early this week.
A storm will spin up along the New England coast at midweek and will take on characteristics of a nor'easter with drenching wind-swept rain and coastal flooding in some locations.
Edmonton, AB (1995)
Small snowstorm brought major traffic problems; dozens of vehicles slid into ditches during the first snowfall of the season.
Eastern New England (1770)
"An exceeding great NE storm" -- great damage MA to ME -- highest tide since 1723.
Pagwa, Ontario, Canada (1923)
Highest amount of snowfall in Ontario for a climatological day - 36.0".