Despite a quiet July in the Atlantic, the AccuWeather.com Long-Range Forecasting team still expects the 2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season to be near normal in terms of the number of named storms. The forecast calls for a total of 12 tropical storms, five named hurricanes and two major hurricanes.
With the number of named tropical storms and hurricanes so far this season factored in, there should be eight additional tropical storms, four of which will become hurricanes, through the rest of the hurricane season. Of those four hurricanes, two could strengthen into major hurricanes, Category 3 or higher.
Astronaut Ron Garan snapped this photo of Hurricane Irene from aboard the International Space Station on Aug. 22, 2011. NOAA averages are based on data from 1981-2010. This was the initial AccuWeather 2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast graphic released on April 26, 2012.
The tropics will become more active from the middle of August through the middle of September with an uptick in the number of named storms. This is the normal peak time of the Atlantic hurricane season.
The U.S. may be impacted by two more named tropical systems, according to AccuWeather Expert Senior Meteorologist Dan Kottlowski. The central Gulf Coast to the southern Virginia coast is most likely to get hit. Once again, Florida could be susceptible.
Flooding from Tropical Storm Debby in St. Petersburg, Fla. Photo was tweeted by Renee Greco.
The chances are lower for the western Gulf coast and northern Atlantic coast to endure a direct landfall of a named tropical system, but they are not immune. Even if a storm does not make landfall in these areas, there can still be impact of flooding rainfall far from where storms move inland.
A gradual fading of the season will occur during October, depending on how fast and strong El Niño comes on. El Niño is a phenomenon characterized by above-normal water temperatures across the central and equatorial Pacific. Water temperatures are warming in the Pacific with the pattern trending toward a weak El Niño.
When an El Niño pattern develops, it forces strong westerly winds high in the atmosphere to shift farther south across the Atlantic. More frequent episodes of high wind shear inhibit tropical development by preventing vertical building of clouds and a well-defined center.
A slow-moving low pressure system will make residents of the Northwest reach for their raincoats and umbrellas each day through the remainder of the week.
A large storm will form over the eastern half of the nation next week and will bring a swath of unsettled conditions for days.
With a growing demand among young adults to live in more connected, urban communities, it remains unclear if they will make the push toward a more environmentally sustainable future.
Cooler weather and rain showers will be the resounding theme for Seattle this week.
Despite sunny skies to start the week, clouds and rain showers will dampen Minneapolis through late week.
After receiving 0.4 of an inch of rain Tuesday, drier weather will linger in the area throughout the week until Friday.
Laramie, WY (1983)
16" of snow (12" in 8 hours).
Eastern States (1986)
Heavy, wet snow on I-84 and other parts of the Poconos and Catskills. Snowfall totals included: Tobyhana, PA 24" Hawley, PA 18" Eldred, NY 24" Slide Mountain, NY 19" Lake Wallenpaupack, PA 16" East Stroudsburg, PA 14" East Jewitt, NY 16"
Ft. Lauderdale, FL (1994)
4" of rain.