What, When and Where:
A band of rain that moved through Virginia and eastern Maryland this morning was poised at noon to cause a rainy afternoon and a wet and splashy commute for Philadelphia, New York City and nearby places. After school sports will be affected in a number of localities.
This is more than a passing shower; some places will have at least two hours of rain. The rain will depart from Philadelphia after dark, and New York City by midnight. Some of the rain will affect eastern New England, including Boston, overnight. All places will see an increase in sunshine tomorrow.
Reasons for this prediction:
This midday radar display from the Dover, Del., radar shows where the rain was just before noon.
This computer model for the six hours ending at 8 p.m. EDT shows an area with substantial rain:
Short-range computer models usually have highest accuracy. The rain area behaved this morning as predicted by this model.
The radar does not show just one solid area of rain, so the rain can start and stop at your location. No lightning was observed in this rain area before noon, but that could change during the afternoon. In areas with little wind after the rain stops, fog could form.
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A blast of arctic air will be accompanied by flurries and even a localized wall of snow in some communities in the Northeast and parts of the Midwest at the start of the Valentine's Day weekend.
Heavy rain will raise the risk of flooding across more than a dozen states in the Southeast on Presidents Day to the East Coast on Tuesday.
Umbrellas will be needed on Valentine's Day as scattered showers overspread Germany.
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Des Moines, IL (1990)
70 degrees, earliest ever at 70 of higher.
Southern Calif. (1992)
A 2 day rainstorm brought flooding and mudslides to the area. 12.53" of rain fall at Woodland Hills.
Cherry Hill, NJ (1999)
An F1 tornado causes significant damage to 10-15 homes.