People asked AccuWeather.com Monday if an October snowstorm means that the Northeast will have a brutal winter. Will it?
The AccuWeather Long Range Team says that the AccuWeather.com Winter 2011-2012 Forecast still looks good. Chicago and the Midwest will have a more brutal winter than the Northeast.
AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Joe Lundburg thinks that the Oct. 29 storm could start a seriously snowy winter weather pattern.
"When you see a weather pattern start to develop in the fall, [the patterns] tend to repeat themselves throughout the winter," Lundburg said. "You're going to see the same thing more than once."
There is no pattern though, that will tell meteorologists if a snowy October means a snowy winter. Some years with the rare October snowstorm have been followed by wimpy winters and others with rough winters.
"There's no real correlation between big October snowstorms in the East and rough winters," AccuWeather Expert Senior Meteorologist Brett Anderson explained.
In one case, 1979 was the benchmark October snowstorm whose records the 2011 storm broke. The winter that followed was a dud, with barely enough snow for the Olympics at Lake Placid, N.Y. An October storm at AccuWeather headquarters in 2002 opened a really snowy winter in State College, Pa.
2011 seems like a year that is an exception to the pattern anyway.
"Look at all of the strange and unusual weather occurrences that happened this year," AccuWeather Expert Senior Meteorologist Dave Dombek said. "It's like the atmospheric rulebook is being thrown out the window. A lot of long-term rules of thumbs have been broken."
"If you go back to try to find an analogy to other storms, you can't find an analogy to other storms," AccuWeather Expert Senior Meteorologist Henry Margusity said. "Weather is not playing by the rules." This snowstorm is "just a continuation of the winter pattern from last year. The extreme weather pattern that we've been in has not ended."
After this weekend, though, the Northeast will return to typical fall weather, with even warmer-than-normal temperatures over the next few weeks. AccuWeather Long Range Expert Paul Pastelok assures that "There's plenty of fall left."
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San Francisco will see a rise in temperatures over the next several days as partially cloudy skies make way for plenty of sunshine.
Another visit from the Polar Vortex will deliver unseasonably cool air to the Midwest, preceded by rounds of thunderstorms, including severe weather.
As the Northeast continues to clean up from destructive storms early this week, more rounds of severe weather loom for early next week.
Welcome dry weather for cleanup efforts across Japan in the wake of Neoguri will be brief.
Days after Neoguri takes a curved path over Japan and into the northern Pacific, much cooler air will drive southeastward across the Midwest and into the Northeast.
Plainview, TX (1979)
A total of 4.5 inches of hail reported (1 inch shy of U.S. record).
Fort Wayne, IN (1989)
Morning low of 78 degrees.
Saskatchewan, Canada (1990)
Two tornadoes touched down northwest of Moose Jaw.