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    New York City Advised to be Wary of a Sandy Shift

    By By Alex Sosnowski, expert senior meteorologist.
    October 24, 2012, 4:07:52 AM EDT

    Sandy will cruise the Caribbean the next few days. However, while Sandy could set sail for Bermuda next week, there is still the danger of a change in course, bringing the storm crashing ashore in the coastal Northeast.

    Indeed, it will seem like the New York City area is on a tropical vacation this week with warmth and spotty thunderstorms.

    The period of consternation and concern for potential damaging and disruptive weather impacts in New York City spans Monday to Wednesday of next week.


    A hurricane or hybrid storm remaining offshore would have minimal direct impact on New York City. Most likely, cool air would sweep in with spotty showers in this scenario. Seas would be rough offshore. The north shore beaches of Long Island and northern New Jersey could have some minor coastal flooding and erosion problems.

    However, there is a danger of the storm being captured and pulled westward by another system approaching from the west next week. Sandy would undergo a transition from a hurricane to a hybrid or non-tropical system, but the storm would retain every bit of a hurricane's intensity.

    Such a westward curve could bring far worse wind and coastal flooding problems, when compared to Irene in 2011. Hurricane-force gusts would sweep inland downing scores trees and causing widespread power outages. Heavy rain would lead to significant flash and urban flooding. There would be travel disruptions matching that of a giant nor'easter with snow.

    A third scenario allows Sandy to escape out to sea but forms a new storm near the coast with more typical nor'easter conditions in New York City to Boston later in the period next week. Thumbnail image of flooding on the BQE during a prior rainstorm by Photos.com

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