After crossing Cuba this weekend, Isaac will turn its sights to Florida and the central Gulf of Mexico next week.
According to Dan Kottlowski, head of the AccuWeather.com Hurricane Center, "Given Isaac's current position and momentum in the Caribbean, the storm is much more likely to track into the Gulf of Mexico than to track along the east coast of Florida."
The latest forecast path map. A larger version of this map can be found on the AccuWeather Hurricane Center.
It is very rare for tropical storms or hurricanes to move from south to north over the heart of the Florida Peninsula after coming from this area of the Caribbean.
Significant impact is likely in the Florida Keys, and in much of Florida in general, as a result.
This track will bring the moist, stormy eastern side of the tropical system over much of the Florida Peninsula.
Bands of torrential rain, gusty winds, building seas, thunderstorms and the potential for a few tornadoes are typical characteristics in this scenario over the peninsula.
Satellite loop of Isaac from NOAA.
While such a track would bring these conditions regardless of intensity, the severity of the conditions will depend on the strength of the system itself.
AccuWeather.com meteorologists are forecasting Isaac to become a hurricane over the Caribbean before crossing Cuba. However, weakening of the system as it crosses Cuba is likely. Next, after moving away from Cuba, restrengthening is likely. How much restrengthening occurs will depend on its proximity to the west coast of Florida. Waters are very warm over the Florida Straits and the Gulf of Mexico.
As the system moves up over the eastern Gulf, a return flow from the west and southwest in the wake of the storm can bring a storm surge along the Florida west coast. It is for this reason that people from Key West to Fort Myers, Tampa and Panama City should be prepared for coastal flooding.
There is still some question as to Isaac's behavior after reaching the Gulf. Current steering winds in the northern Gulf would turn the storm more to the north then perhaps to the northeast. This raises the possibility of the system moving inland over the northeastern Gulf coast. Because of this, folks over the upper Gulf Coast of Florida should keep a close eye on Isaac as there is a chance of landfall in their vicinity.
There is still a slight chance that Isaac will make an abrupt turn to the north somewhere between Hispaniola and eastern Cuba, which would bring the storm to the Atlantic side of Florida.
While tropical storm or hurricane conditions would be possible in the Bahamas and the Miami area in this scenario, much of the Florida Peninsula would be far less stormy and potentially sunny.
A powerful 7.6 magnitude earthquake struck near the Peru-Brazil border region shortly before 6 p.m. local time Tuesday evening, the U.S. Geological Survey said. A second 7.6 earthquake occurred about five minutes later.
While Atlanta has received above-average rainfall so far this month, dry and calm conditions are forecast for the area this week.
Compared to Thanksgiving Day in 2014, this Thanksgiving will be substantially warmer in the Northeast.
Hurricane Sandra, located hundreds of miles southwest of Mexico, is becoming better organized and will likely track northward through the rest of the week.
A few days of drier weather is expected across southern India before downpours return this weekend.
An expanding area of snow, rain, wind and cold will hamper Thanksgiving travel in the West, while most areas east of the Rockies can expect no major weather-related problems during the early to middle part of this week.
Astoria, Or (1998)
5.56 inches of rain fell, setting a new all-time record. the previous rainfall record was 4.53 inches from January 9, 1966.
Great Appalachian Storm (24th-26th) developed greatest wind force, deepest snow, most severe early-season cold in history of the Northeast: 18.8 inches of snow at Akron, OH; Youngstown, OH, had a maximum 24-hour snowfall of 20.7 inches and a maximum single storm total of 28.7 inches; Steubenville, OH, had a maximum single storm total of 36.3 inches; Pittsburgh, PA, had a maximum 24-hour snowfall of 20.1 inches and a maximum single storm total of 27.7 inches; and Charleston, WV had a maximum 24-hour snowfall of 15.1 inches and a maximum single storm total of 25.6 inches. At coastal stations such as Newark and Boston single-minute wind speeds in excess of 80 mph were registered. There was a 108 mph gust at Newark. Peak gusts of 110 were noticed at Concord, NH; 108 mph at Newark, NJ; and 100 mph at Hartford, CT. Atop Mt. Washington, a wind gust of 160 mph hit from the southeast early on the 26th. Central Park, in the heart of sheltered Manhattan Island, set an 80-year record of 70 mph.
Wilkes-Barre/ Scranton (1971)
Heavy snowfall in the Wilkes-Barre/Scranton area. It started to snow the night before, and by about noon Thanksgiving Day 11/25/71, 20.5 inches of snow was reported on the ground at the Avoca, PA airport. Some of the surrounding areas had even more snow. Dallas, PA, had 27 inches and parts of the Poconos had as much as 30 inches. Barn roofs collapsed, power lines were downed, and tree branches were broken. The majority of the snow fell within 12 hours.