After crossing Cuba this weekend, Isaac will turn its sights to Florida and the central Gulf of Mexico next week.
According to Dan Kottlowski, head of the AccuWeather.com Hurricane Center, "Given Isaac's current position and momentum in the Caribbean, the storm is much more likely to track into the Gulf of Mexico than to track along the east coast of Florida."
The latest forecast path map. A larger version of this map can be found on the AccuWeather Hurricane Center.
It is very rare for tropical storms or hurricanes to move from south to north over the heart of the Florida Peninsula after coming from this area of the Caribbean.
Significant impact is likely in the Florida Keys, and in much of Florida in general, as a result.
This track will bring the moist, stormy eastern side of the tropical system over much of the Florida Peninsula.
Bands of torrential rain, gusty winds, building seas, thunderstorms and the potential for a few tornadoes are typical characteristics in this scenario over the peninsula.
Satellite loop of Isaac from NOAA.
While such a track would bring these conditions regardless of intensity, the severity of the conditions will depend on the strength of the system itself.
AccuWeather.com meteorologists are forecasting Isaac to become a hurricane over the Caribbean before crossing Cuba. However, weakening of the system as it crosses Cuba is likely. Next, after moving away from Cuba, restrengthening is likely. How much restrengthening occurs will depend on its proximity to the west coast of Florida. Waters are very warm over the Florida Straits and the Gulf of Mexico.
As the system moves up over the eastern Gulf, a return flow from the west and southwest in the wake of the storm can bring a storm surge along the Florida west coast. It is for this reason that people from Key West to Fort Myers, Tampa and Panama City should be prepared for coastal flooding.
There is still some question as to Isaac's behavior after reaching the Gulf. Current steering winds in the northern Gulf would turn the storm more to the north then perhaps to the northeast. This raises the possibility of the system moving inland over the northeastern Gulf coast. Because of this, folks over the upper Gulf Coast of Florida should keep a close eye on Isaac as there is a chance of landfall in their vicinity.
There is still a slight chance that Isaac will make an abrupt turn to the north somewhere between Hispaniola and eastern Cuba, which would bring the storm to the Atlantic side of Florida.
While tropical storm or hurricane conditions would be possible in the Bahamas and the Miami area in this scenario, much of the Florida Peninsula would be far less stormy and potentially sunny.
The boat, the MV Nirvana, capsized in the waters off Ormoc City in Leyte, according to Red Cross Chairman Richard J. Gordon in a tweet on the relief organization's Twitter feed.
A shark attack was reported on Wednesday on Ocracoke Island, North Carolina, marking the state's seventh attack this year.
Another round of drenching and gusty thunderstorms is in store for areas from the central Plains to the Tennessee Valley through Thursday night.
In a state plagued by drought, Golden State residents are advised to play it safe with fireworks this Fourth of July.
The mercury soared to a whopping 36.7 degrees Celsius on Wednesday at London Heathrow Airport, setting an all-time July record high for the United Kingdom.
Severe storms plowed across Missouri on Wednesday evening into Thursday morning.
Central U.S./ Ohio Valley (1980)
Severe thunderstorm outbreak: Bertrand, NE - 3 inches of rain in 1 hour. Missouri - Tornadoes touched down in central MO. Strong winds took the roof off a motel in the Lake Ozark area, injuring several people. Evansville, IN - Nearly 1/2 foot of rain (5.90") Trees & lines downed by 60-80 mph winds. Carbondale, IL - Tornadoes hurt 15 and damaged roofs, trees, trailers, etc.; on Lake Kinkaid overturned boats, drowning some. Marion, IL - 80-mph wind gust at the airport. Lexington, KY - Many tornadoes. Louisville, KY - Hail the size of a hen's eggs. Kentucky - Tornadoes down near Short Creek, north of Bowling Green and near Ft. Knox. Winds gusted to near 70 mph at Central City, destroying several aircrafts.
Santa Barbara, CA (1985)
109 degrees -- tied for all-time record high.
Midland, TX (1989)
112 degrees -- all-time record high for city for the month of July.