Hurricane Paul to Bring Little Rain to San Antonio

By , Senior Meteorologist
October 15, 2012; 6:02 AM ET
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Despite a flow of tropical moisture high over head, little rain is in the offing for San Antonio.

At first glance, the "Baja Express" is bringing a stream of clouds from the eastern Pacific to northern Mexico and Texas, and it would appear that tremendous rain was heading to San Antonio and Hill Country.

However, a closer look reveals a lack of nearby surface features to take advantage of the moisture.

The tropical fire hydrant is being opened by Hurricane Paul off the tip of Baja California, Mexico. Upper-level winds are carrying high clouds over central Texas, but dry air at the surface is limiting the potential for that moisture.

Paul is forecast to eventually curve away from Baja California later this week.

There is the chance of a locally drenching shower or thunderstorm during Tuesday in the San Antonio area. But a repeat of the Miriam and Norman moisture, which interacted with a front from the north is not forecast to be repeated. Between 2.00 and 4.00 inches of rain fell with that event during the last few days of September.

With the shower/thunderstorm potential Tuesday, there may be localized amounts of 0.50 to 1.00 inch. However, some locations may get no rain at all. The bulk of the shower activity will likely pass by to the south.


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