Jova Unloading Torrential Rain; New Depression Forms

By , Senior Meteorologist
Oct 12, 2011; 8:25 AM ET
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In this infrared satellite image from earlier this morning, Jova (on the left) can be seen pushing farther into western Mexico. Meanwhile, a new tropical depression has formed out of the cluster of clouds on the right.

Jova is now onshore and weakening, but remains a serious danger to lives in Mexico. Meanwhile, a new tropical depression has formed and poses new threats to Mexico.

Jova moved onshore around 11 p.m. Tuesday (PDT, 2 a.m. EDT Wednesday) near the town of Chamela in the Mexican state of Jalisco.

Jova was a Category 2 hurricane at the time of landfall with maximum sustained winds of nearly 100 mph.

The rugged terrain of western Mexico will continue to unwind Jova's circulation. Jova was downgraded to a tropical rainstorm as of the afternoon Wednesday local time.

Jova being captured on webcams: Guadalajara and Puerto Vallarta.

Despite weakening, Jova should not be taken lightly through the end of the week.

Torrential rain will continue to pour down on the Mexican states of Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima and western Michoacan, producing totals of 6 to 12 inches with localized amounts of 20 inches in the higher terrain.

As of the mid-afternoon, 13.67 inches of rain has fallen on the city of Colima with 12.20 inches of rain falling in 24-hours on Manzanillo.

Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides remain serious concerns.

Damaging winds will continue to lash western Mexico today before Jova loses its tropical storm status.

The worst of Jova, in terms of its destructive hurricane-force winds, narrowly bypassed the popular tourist cities of Puerto Vallarta and Manzanillo.

The waters along the entire southern coast of Mexico (including at the beaches of Acapulco) will remain rough and dangerous for swimmers and operators of small craft during the next few days.

Even though Jova has moved inland, Tropical Storm Irwin is following in its footsteps and another tropical depression has formed in the Gulf of Tehuantepec (offshore of southeastern Mexico).

The good news is that Irwin will not be a repeat of Jova. Irwin is not expected to regain hurricane strength and could completely fizzle before nearing land.

AccuWeather.com Meteorologist Bill Deger pointed out that the path Jova took and the one Irwin may take are highly unusual.

"The bulk of the hurricanes in [the eastern Pacific] either parallel the coast or head out to sea."

The depression in the Gulf of Tehuantepec is actually the next danger to residents of Mexico.

The depression should strengthen into Tropical Storm Kenneth before moving into southeastern Mexico within the next day, unleashing flooding rain in the process.

According to Tropical Weather and Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski, "Repeating downpours from central and southern Mexico into Central America over the next 7 to 14 days can lead to an additional couple of feet of rain and flash flooding."

Kottlowski is referring to the current tropical system in the region and weak additional features that can form nearby in the coming days.

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