Eastern Pacific Starting to Brew

May 14, 2012; 1:41 AM ET
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The Eastern Pacific could have its first tropical cyclone of the 2012 season in the very near future.

The tropics are looking to jump the gun this year, as the official start of the Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season is Tuesday, May 15th.

A cluster of unsettled weather centered about 550 miles south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico could lead to first organized tropical cyclone of the season in the next couple of days.

This area of showers and thunderstorms is currently drifting northwestward into an environment with light wind shear and relatively warm water temperatures. This combination could aid in the slow development of a tropical cyclone.

Model guidance is not fully in agreement on whether or not a tropical system will develop, however if it does, there will be no immediate impacts on any landmasses.

The upper level pattern over the eastern Pacific will feature a building ridge to the north which would cause any system that develops to take a general westward track, taking it further out to sea and away from Central America and Mexico.

If the storm takes until the middle of next week to form, then a weakening ridge could allow the tropical cyclone to drift northward or even northeastward toward Mexico.


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