The Eastern Pacific could have its first tropical cyclone of the 2012 season in the very near future.
The tropics are looking to jump the gun this year, as the official start of the Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season is Tuesday, May 15th.
A cluster of unsettled weather centered about 550 miles south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico could lead to first organized tropical cyclone of the season in the next couple of days.
This area of showers and thunderstorms is currently drifting northwestward into an environment with light wind shear and relatively warm water temperatures. This combination could aid in the slow development of a tropical cyclone.
Model guidance is not fully in agreement on whether or not a tropical system will develop, however if it does, there will be no immediate impacts on any landmasses.
The upper level pattern over the eastern Pacific will feature a building ridge to the north which would cause any system that develops to take a general westward track, taking it further out to sea and away from Central America and Mexico.
If the storm takes until the middle of next week to form, then a weakening ridge could allow the tropical cyclone to drift northward or even northeastward toward Mexico.
As July draws to a close, a storm system swinging up from the Deep South will bring downpours to the northeastern U.S. and break the back of an extended heat wave.
Repeating and slow-moving storms will raise the risk of flash flooding and damaging winds over northern and central High Plains into Thursday night.
Repeating downpours will raise the risk for flash flooding along the Gulf coast and lower Mississippi Valley through the middle days of the week.
Highs will run between 10 and 15 degrees Fahrenheit above average across much of the western United States into the upcoming weekend.
The F1 season continues this weekend with the German Grand Prix in Hockenheim with disruptive showers and thunderstorms in the forecast.
The heat felt across the United Kingdom during the middle of July has faded and is not expected to return through at least the first week of August.
Hurricane near Jacksonville; $2.5 million damage in East Florida.
Charlotte, NC (1979)
Last of 12 straight days on which some rain fell. Total precipitation was 3.74".
Redfield, SD (1990)
A total of 1.76" of rain in 25 minutes during the morning, then a tornado struck in the afternoon.